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Cowboys Try To Take One More Step Toward A Division Championship

Posted by Stan Simmons on 2/4/2014 4:54:48 AM

The Dallas Cowboys know that if they beat the Philadelphia Eagles later in the month of December, they should win the NFC East. Beating Chicago will certainly help them, though.

Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears – Monday, December 9

Betting line: PICK

Why Dallas Will Win

The football betting dynamics of this game are complicated, but they can certainly point the way to a Dallas victory. The biggest thing to keep in mind when considering the Cowboys as your betting choice is that they’ll be going up against a team with a physically frail set of skill position players.

Chicago’s starting quarterback, Jay Cutler, has been injured for over a month at this point. Subsequent injury reports might change the reality of the situation later this week, but at the moment, Cutler’s status is uncertain. Even if he somehow managed to play in this game, there would be questions about his health and effectiveness, especially since Cutler forced his way into the starting lineup a month ago against the Detroit Lions. On that day, Cutler limped around the field and could not push off on his back leg. His throws lacked their customary zip, and Cutler tried to compensate for his lack of physical health by trying to throw the ball into very tight spaces. Cutler, however, threw a goal-line interception and made other mistakes that enabled the Lions to beat the Bears. Let’s say that Cutler plays in this game – would he make more such errors? Would he be able to perform with a maximum of effectiveness? Probably not. Cutler can’t be expected to be at his best in this game, and even though backup Josh McCown has filled in admirably for Cutler, the Bears would certainly lose something on offense if they can’t have their number-one quarterback at full health.

One should also point out that Chicago running back Matt Forte suffered an injury on Nov. 24 against the St. Louis Rams and will probably not be at full strength in this game. If Cutler can’t be at his best and Forte isn’t able to run at full speed, where will Chicago find playmakers other than Brandon Marshall? It’s going to be difficult for the Bears to score.

Why Chicago Will Win

The kinds of problems Chicago is facing can be dealt with as long as the Bears force turnovers from the Cowboys’ offense. Given that Tony Romo frequently plays in climate-controlled conditions on his home turf in Arlington, Tex., this cold-weather game might make Romo unsettled enough to play poorly. Chicago will likely need to force a turnover or two in order to win, and more specifically, the Bears might need a turnover that will set up a short field for their offense. Romo, though, is the kind of up-and-down quarterback who – after a few solid weeks – could regress and give Chicago the opening it is looking for.

Who Will Win

For a bettor, this is a tough game, but it’s hard to think that the Cowboys will be able to overcome their penchant for being inconsistent. Dallas should experience a drop-off in productivity, enabling Chicago to win.

NFL Betting Pick: Bears

Get the latest inside skinny on the NFL’s week 14 lines at the foremost authority for betting on the web.


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