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Cowboys Panthers Betting Tips – Cowboys Try To Shrug Off Horrible Loss And Move Onward

Posted by Tony Bryant on 10/16/2012 6:40:54 PM

The Dallas Cowboys were about to steal a road win from the Baltimore Ravens, but their game management failures cost them dearly. They will try to rebound this week against Carolina.

Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers – Sunday, October 21    
Betting line: Dallas -1

Why Dallas Will Win

The NFL betting calculus suggests that the Cowboys should be able to take care of business in this contest. It's not that the Cowboys are special; everyone can see that Dallas is once again struggling this season. However, "struggling" doesn't even begin to describe the awfulness of Carolina Panthers football in 2012.

It has been surprising to witness, but it is very hard to deny: Cameron Newton, the quarterback who seemed destined for greatness and might still perhaps attain lofty heights as an NFL player when all is said and done, has performed terribly this season. Newton's confidence is shattered. Defensive coordinators who had all offseason to break down game film have, at least for the moment, figured him out.

Newton is no longer this mystery whom NFL defenses can't solve. He's been kept in the pocket, forced to make plays substantially with his arm, and denied access to running lanes. Teams have realized that Newton can't be allowed to get into open space as a runner. As long as he is limited to passing alone, he is very containable and stoppable. Dallas' defense, led by coordinator Rob Ryan, should be able to make any and all relevant adjustments against Newton. Dallas should be able to hold Carolina under 20 points, and if that does indeed happen, Tony Romo and an average Cowboy offense should be able to scratch out enough points to win this contest.

Why Carolina Will Win

When football betting pundits look at this game from a Carolina perspective, they're going to note that the Cowboys are at a point where they could very easily and realistically implode. Dallas was about to beat the Baltimore Ravens last week, having wiped away a big deficit to attain unexpected late-game leverage. Dallas trailed by eight points for much of the fourth quarter and was down to its last fourth-down play on a number of occasions. Yet, the Cowboys somehow survived and then scored a touchdown in the final minute. When the tying two-point conversion attempt failed, however, it seemed as though Baltimore had the game tucked away.

In spite of this, Dallas had an answer.

The Cowboys recovered the ensuing onside kick after it was bobbled and lost by the Ravens' special-teams unit. Dallas drove to the Baltimore 34 with 20 seconds left, appearing to have every chance in the world to not only kick a field goal, but a field goal of reasonable length.

This is when things went south for the Cowboys.

Dallas head coach Jason Garrett had a timeout left, but he didn't use it with 20 seconds left after the Cowboys reached the Baltimore 34 on an in-bounds pass play. Dallas figured to be able to get the ball to the 25 or 20 yard line for a very manageable field goal, but Garrett – by failing to call the timeout – robbed his team of that chance. Dallas had to settle for a low-percentage 51-yard field goal, and when the kick missed, Dallas had lost a game its players felt it should have won.

The Cowboy players know that their coach failed them with terrible game management. This is precisely the kind of situation in which a team can implode, and Carolina can take advantage.

Who Will Win

It’s quite possible that Dallas will give up on Jason Garrett in this game, but the sense here is that it's too early in the season for that to happen. The Cowboys should play with pride, and that will be enough for them to beat the Panthers.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Dallas

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