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Dolphins vs Bills Betting Odds - Ricky Williams will continue resurgence against Bills

Posted by Stan Simmons on 11/27/2009 2:40:52 PM
NFL lineThe Dolphins vs Bills betting odds are crucial to Miami, which is trying to keep its playoff hopes alive. The Dolphins crushed Buffalo earlier this season, but that was before Terrell Owens exploded last week, giving Buffalo a new weapon. Still, thanks to a strong ground game, sports betting fans should lean with Miami.

Dolphins vs Bills odds: Dolphins -3 (TOTAL: 40)
WHAT: NFL betting
WHEN: Sunday, Nov. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET
WHERE: Ralph Wilson Stadium
KEY STAT: Buffalo allowed 250 rush yards against Miami in Week 4
PICK: Dolphins -3

Dolphins vs Bills betting odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
The Dolphins are trying to save their season and, after winning five of their last seven games, hope still exists. Still, an 0-3 start hurt badly and a loss will knock them from contention. They beat the Panthers 24-17 on the road last week.

Buffalo sits last in the AFC East and has dropped three straight games, including last week's 18-15 defeat to Jacksonville. The offense is in shambles and head coach Dick Jauron was finally fired.

Dolphins vs Bills betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
The Dolphins offense revolved around running back Ronnie Brown before he went down with a knee injury. It didn't really seem to matter, though, as back-up Ricky Williams shredded the Panthers for 119 rush yards and three total touchdowns. He'll have to be the man again; Chad Henne is struggling at quarterback.

Terrell Owens finally made an impact for Buffalo, catching nine passes for 197 yards against the Jags, including a 98-yard touchdown. Buffalo still only managed 15 points, the third straight week the Bills have scored 17 points or fewer.

Betting Edge: Dolphins

Dolphins vs Bills betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
Both teams have struggled on defense. Miami has been ravaged against the pass, so the "D" will have to keep a close eye on Owens after he showed signs of life. The run defense has remained pretty solid, though, by allowing just 105.9 yards per game on the ground.

The Bills have done the opposite. Buffalo has performed well against the pass, most notably rookie Jairus Byrd, who has eight interceptions this season. The rush defense has been a nightmare, though, and the Bills rank second-last in the NFL in running yards per game (165.9) and touchdowns (15).

Betting Edge: Even

Dolphins vs Bills betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Ronnie Brown is done for the year, leaving Ricky Williams to carry the load for Miami. Defensive lineman Jason Ferguson was hurt against the Panthers and it done for the season. All three of Miami's centers are nursing leg injuries.

Buffalo has been destroyed by injuries, with 14 players on injured reserve. Linemen Seth McKinney and Eric Wood joined the list this week. Corner Terrence McGee could return this week, but his status is questionable.

Betting Edge: Even

Dolphins vs Bills betting odds for total: 40
AFC East matchups tend to be low-scoring, hard-hitting affairs. Both offenses have significant holes and, since they're so one-dimensional, the defenses can focus on taking key players out of the game. You're safer taking the under at your offshore sportsbook.

Pick: UNDER 40

Dolphins vs Bills betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
Miami romped the Bills 38-10 in Week 4, with the ground game leading the charge. Brown was a big part of that but, coming off his fine performance against Carolina, Williams proved he can still get the job done. Look for Ricky Williams and the Dolphins to grind out some solid rushing yards against the soft Bills front, while Owens fails to deliver the results he produced last week.

STAN'S PICK: Dolphins -3

Get in-depth analysis and research on Week 12 NFL odds, including Dolphins vs Bills betting odds, in the football section of the Betting Edge.



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