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Dolphins vs Jaguars Betting Odds - Dolphins will knock Jaguars out of playoff spot

Posted by D.J. Tomkins on 12/9/2009 4:21:35 PM

NFL Odds: Dolphins +1

NFL football linesThe Dolphins vs Jaguars betting odds will match up two teams from Florida, but only one is a true contender. The Jaguars have the better record but all of their wins have come against teams that are below .500. Meanwhile, cappers have been successful betting the Dolphins against winning teams, as they are 4-1 against the spread when facing a winning team.

Dolphins vs Jaguars betting odds: Jaguars -1, Under 44
WHAT: NFL betting
WHEN: Sunday December 13th – 1:00 PM ET
WHERE: Jacksonville Municipal Stadium – Jacksonville, FL
KEY STAT: Jaguars 0-4 ATS as a favorite this year

Dolphins vs Jaguars betting odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
The Dolphins got a big win over the Patriots last week, and now sportsbook odds makers will have to pay closer attention to them as they’re one game out of the AFC East lead and one game out of an AFC Wild Card berth. Even without Chad Pennington and Ronnie Brown, the Dolphins continue to get better each week.

For Jacksonville, they continue to beat the weaker teams in the NFL but they haven’t faced too many tough guys this year. When they have, they’ve stumbled. The Jags have a lot of teams chasing them for that last AFC Wild Card spot, so they have to keep winning if they want to qualify for the postseason.

Betting Edge: Even

Dolphins vs Jaguars betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
The Dolphins offense is without their starting quarterback and starting running back, yet they continue to chug along. Quarterback Chad Henne is getting better on a weekly basis, while their offensive line may be one of the best in the NFL. They should have a huge advantage against the Jags’ defensive line, which has produced just 12 sacks this year – the lowest amount in the NFL.

Meanwhile, the Jags offense has been up and down this year. Their running game and passing game have weapons, but the team is inconsistent. Ideally, they would pound the ball every game, but NFL betting cappers – and fantasy players – know that Maurice Jones-Drew isn’t a focal point of the offense every week. He has averaged just 72.3 yards per game over his last three contests and has just one touchdown in that span.

Betting Edge: Even

Dolphins vs Jaguars betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
The Dolphins defense is where they should have the edge in this game. The weakness of this unit is the secondary, but the Jags passing game isn’t potent enough to exploit this young group. Meanwhile, the front seven for Miami have played very well in recent weeks. Last week, they held the Patriots to just 21 points, which gives you a good indication that they should be able to do the same – or better – this week.

For Jacksonville, they continue to struggle defensively because they simply can’t manufacture sacks. They have just 12 on the year, which is the fewest in the NFL. Their secondary has been a bit weaker this year as well, as cornerback Rashean Mathis has missed three straight games and may be out again.

Betting Edge: Dolphins

Dolphins vs Jaguars betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
The Jags may be without their top cornerback Rashean Mathis this week, which continues to hamper the defense.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins are without Pennington and Brown, but they have been for a while and have moved on.

Betting Edge: Even

Dolphins vs Jaguars betting odds for total: 44
This is a high total for two run-oriented teams that don’t exactly have explosive offenses. If anything, these teams tend to rely a little bit more on defense than they’d like when their offenses hit an inconsistent spell. Look for both teams to try to milk the clock, which will help keep this total under.

Pick: Under 44

Dolphins vs Jaguars betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
The Dolphins are simply the better team in this game. While the Jags have struggled against elite teams this year, the Dolphins have thrived against them. On top of that, this game will be played in Florida and, while it’s not the Dolphins home stadium, it might feel like it on Sunday as their fan base drowns out the feeble Jags enthusiasts. The Dolphins will win this game and put themselves in good position for a playoff spot.

DJ’S PICK: Dolphins +1

For daily sports betting picks and analysis, check out the Betting Edge. There’s also plenty more numbers on the Dolphins vs Jaguars betting odds in our stats center.



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