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Falcons Buccaneers Betting Predictions – Surprising Buccaneers Look For Fifth-Straight Win When They Host Falcons Sunday

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/21/2012 5:24:16 PM

The direction of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ franchise has completely turned around since the hiring of head coach Greg Schiano this past offseason. The Buccaneers have followed up a slow start with four-straight wins to climb to 6-4 under Schiano, and are suddenly being mentioned in the NFC playoff conversation. Tampa Bay can close the gap in the NFC South to two games with a win over the division-leading Atlanta Falcons this Sunday, and apparently even the sports betting experts are beginning to buy in to the legitimacy of the Buccaneers.

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday November 25, 2012 – 1:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, Florida
NFL Betting Line: Atlanta Falcons – 1

How else can you explain a line that opened as a Pick’Em for a date against an Atlanta team that had won nine of its first 10 games overall? The Falcons’ only stumble so far this season was a four-point loss at a desperate New Orleans Saints’ club in week 10, but they still aren’t getting the respect most teams with such dominant records have received in past years.

NFL Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons

One of the reasons for the skepticism has been the inconsistency Atlanta has shown in many of its close wins, with five of its nine victories coming by six points or less. Matt Ryan and the league’s third-ranked pass offense has come through in close games, but the fact that they allowed teams like the Carolina Panthers and Oakland Raiders to come so close is a concern to some. The Falcons haven’t been able to move the ball on the ground with consistency despite a seemingly capable running back tandem in Michael Turner and Jacquizz Rodgers. Atlanta has also struggled to stop the rush on defense, with the 26th-ranked run defense giving up an average of 130.5 yards per game on the ground.

NFL Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers’ defense has been the opposite of the Falcons with the top-ranked run defense, but a big part of that has been its inability to stop the pass. Tampa Bay has allowed a league-high 312.6 yards per game through the air, and will need to buckle down against Atlanta’s air attack. Fortunately for the Buccaneers, the strength of their offense has been the ninth-ranked rushing attack, which is led by rookie running back Doug Martin. Martin has rushed for 1,000 yards and eight total touchdowns, and also has 319 receiving yards. Tampa Bay is tied with the New Orleans Saints with an NFC-high 287 points scored, with Martin and wide receivers Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams shouldering the bulk of the load.

NFL Betting Preview: Outlook & Pick

A revived Buccaneers’ team has bought in to Schiano’s philosophy, and the additions of Martin and Jackson has helped make the difference on an offense that have averaged 33.5 points per game over four-straight online sportsbook wins. Tampa Bay will rely on its offense to keep up with Ryan and the Falcons’ attack, and can solidify their position in the NFC playoff race with another important home win against a division rival that has already survived some close calls this season.

NFL Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers


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