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Falcons vs Panthers Odds - Trap game for struggling Ryan and the Falcons

Posted by Stan Simmons on 11/13/2009 1:39:21 PM
NFL linesThe Falcons vs Panthers odds certainly mean more than they did a few weeks ago. Atlanta came back in the pack after a slew of tough road games while the Panthers literally ran their way back up the standings. At Carolina, the Falcons – and sportsbook bettors - cannot underestimate the pesky Panthers.

Falcons vs Panthers Odds: Falcons -1
WHAT: NFL betting
WHEN: Sunday, Nov. 15 at 8:20 p.m. ET
WHERE: Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina
KEY STAT: Matt Ryan has failed to pass for 200 yards three times in last four games
PICK: Panthers +1.5

Falcons vs Panthers odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
The Falcons are in a playoff position right now but still have tough matchups ahead against the Giants, Eagles and Saints. They therefore have to take advantage whenever they face teams with losing records. The Panthers still want to be taken seriously but can only afford one or two more losses all season.

Falcons vs Panthers odds maker breakdown: Offense
Matt Ryan and the Falcons passing game get a lot of hype, but the truth is that the sophomore pivot has scuffled of late. Ryan has topped 200 passing yards once in his last four games. He’s also thrown eight picks versus six touchdown passes over that span and been sacked 10 times. He still, however, gives the Atlanta a clear edge over Jake Delhomme and the Carolina passing game, even when he’s not at his best.

Both teams are running the ball with authority right now; Michael Turner and DeAngelo Williams have each topped 149 rushing yards in back-to-back NFL betting matchups against tough defenses.

Betting Edge: Falcons

Falcons vs Panthers odds maker breakdown: Defense
Carolina ranks sixth in the NFL against the pass; it was No. 1 before it faced the Saints last week. Playing at home, the Panthers secondary will be tough on Roddy White and limit Matt Ryan’s ability to stretch the field. The Falcons are weak against the pass but Delhomme isn’t the ideal man to exploit that problem.

The Panthers and Falcons both struggle against the run, allowing 120-plus yards a week, so we can expect major ground success for Turner, Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Since the Panthers are at least proficient against the pass, they get the edge.

Betting Edge: Panthers

Falcons vs Panthers odds for total: 43.5
In theory, the run-heavy approach both teams should deploy would chew up lots of clock and limit the opportunity for big points. However, I think we’ll see such massive rushing days from both teams that they’ll post some good scoreboard totals. Bet the over with confidence in this matchup.

Pick: Over 43.5

Falcons vs Panthers odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Neither team has been hit with any new bombshells but both were hurt by season-ending injuries earlier this season. The Falcons lost tackle Peria Jerry and safety William Moore; the Panthers lost linebacker Thomas Davis.

Betting Edge: Draw

Falcons vs Panthers betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
I think Atlanta gets caught looking past Carolina this week. The Panthers’ solid pass defense will fluster the suddenly mistake-prone Ryan at home and it’s all but guaranteed that DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart will gouge the Falcons in the running game. Delhomme won’t make it easy for his own team but I think the enigmatic Panthers will tease online betting fans with another surprise victory.

STAN’S PICK: Panthers +1.5 will update the Falcons vs Panthers odds until Sunday’s kickoff. Bookmark the Betting Edge section for top-notch sports betting analysis every day.



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