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Falcons Redskins Betting Tips – Falcons, Let Off The Hook, Try To Remain Perfect

Posted by Tony Bryant on 10/3/2012 6:49:55 PM

The Atlanta Falcons know that they got away with one this past Sunday against the Carolina Panthers. They will try to make sure they won't slip up against the Washington Redskins.

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Redskins – Sunday, October 7    
Betting line: Atlanta -3

Why Atlanta Will Win

The NFL betting calculus suggests that Atlanta will lose at some point this season, but will Washington be the team to stop the Falcons' four-game winning streak? Probably not.

Atlanta did get away with a sloppy and subpar performance against Carolina this past Sunday. All Carolina had to do was make two feet with star quarterback Cameron Newton, but the Panthers and head coach Ron Rivera chose to punt instead. Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan was able to complete a bomb deep in his own team's half of the field. The long-distance aerial flipped the field and set up a game-winning field goal in the final 30 seconds of regulation. Atlanta escaped, leading a number of pundits to conclude that Washington can jump up and bite the Falcons this week.

However, Washington is just not in a particularly good position to win this game. The Redskins are still beaten up and shorthanded on defense. They won last week because they were facing a very impotent Tampa Bay offense, but Atlanta's offense is a lot better than anything the Buccaneers can provide. Matt Ryan is playing at a Pro Bowl level this season. The Falcons are breathing confidence, and they know they can respond in adverse situations, having walked over the hot coals of pressure against Carolina. Atlanta should, in short, be able to ring up big numbers in this game. The Falcons should be able to protect Ryan in the pocket, and if they do that, they'll score at least 30 points against the Redskins. That should be more than enough to win, even on the road.

Why Washington Will Win

When football betting pundits size up this game, they’re going to make one connection that can point the way to a Redskin win. Atlanta struggled last week in its attempt to defend Carolina quarterback Cameron Newton. It has to be said that Newton is a dynamic athlete, one who can perform from the pocket yet dazzle with his athleticism and skill when plays break down. Newton's speed and power as a runner, not just his ability as a passer, makes him an especially tough quarterback to contain for opposing defenses.

Simply stated, Robert Griffin III – while not as muscular or as powerful as Newton – does have the scrambling ability, field sense, and playmaking genius that Newton also owns. Atlanta's defense will find it hard to match up with Griffin, and this is why the Redskins – though admittedly undermanned on defense – can outscore the Falcons in a shootout. Atlanta will not win this game if it produces a modest point total in the low 20s.

Who Will Win

It’s likely that Washington will score 28 or more points, but it's also likely that Atlanta will score in the mid-30s or higher. Take the Falcons in a festival of offensive fireworks.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Atlanta


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