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Giants vs Chiefs Odds - Fierce New York "D" will raid Kansas City's Cassel

Posted by Stan Simmons on 9/30/2009 10:46:55 AM
NFL football lineIt's actually a little surprising Giants vs Chiefs odds aren't a little wider at the sportsbook this week. New York ate Tampa Bay's soul last weekend, and Kansas City brings similar things to the table - maybe less. The Giants "D" is already in midseason form, so look for it to dominate Matt Cassel and the struggling Chiefs on Sunday.

Giants vs Chiefs odds: Giants -8.5 (Total: 42.5)

  • WHAT: NFL betting
  • WHEN: Sunday, October 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
  • WHERE: Arrowhead Stadium
  • KEY STAT: New York stopped Tampa Bay all nine times on third down last week
  • PICK: Giants -8.5

Giants vs Chiefs odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
The Giants are undefeated at 3-0 and look poised to make a serious run at the Super Bowl. Last week's 24-0 demolition of the Buccaneers was as dominant as you'll ever see. That means trouble for the Chiefs, as the Giants proved they'll bring their "A" game even against inferior teams. Kansas City is on the opposite end of the spectrum and, at 0-3, is merely trying to build some positive things moving forward.

Giants vs Chiefs odds maker breakdown: Offense
After a slow start against the Redskins in Week 1, the Giants offense has shifted into another gear. The running game, as expected, has been dominant, with the team rolling up 226 yards against Tampa last week. The passing game has been solid too, and Steve Smith has emerged as a very reliable target for Eli Manning (23 catches, 277 yards, two touchdowns). Kansas City bottomed out in a 34-14 loss to Philly last weekend. Matt Cassel completed nearly 80 percent of his passes but threw for just 90 yards. That kind of conservatism isn't going to win football games.

Betting Edge: Giants

Giants vs Chiefs odds maker breakdown: Defense
New York's defense looks as good as it was during their 2008 Super Bowl run—maybe better. The Buccaneers were pushed around like a Pop Warner team, limited to just 86 yards of offense and 16:22 time of possession. This unit is firing on all cylinders right now and Cassel and Co. are in for a very, very long day. Kansas City's defense is just as bad as its offense. Remove a 13-10 loss to the lowly Raiders from the equation and the team is yielding 36 points per game. With just three sacks, one interception and one fumble recovery on the year, don't expect many big plays from the Chiefs' defense.

Betting Edge: Giants

Giants vs Chiefs odds for total: 42.5
The Chiefs can't score and they can't stop anybody. Meanwhile, the Giants can pitch a shutout with the best and like to slow things down with a grinding running game. All the pieces are in place for a score similar New York's 24-0 romp over Tampa last weekend and online betting fans should take advantage.

Pick: Under 42.5

Giants vs Chiefs odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Dwayne Bowe missed the Eagles game with hamstring injury. Mark Bradley stepped up but K.C. can't afford to lose any pieces. Kansas City linebacker Derrick Johnson sat out with a groin injury. New York is juggling a handful of injuries. Receivers Hakeem Nix and Domenik Hixon sat out last week; end Justin Tuck is nursing a sore shoulder; defensive lineman Chris Canty is week-to-week with a calf injury.

Betting Edge: Chiefs

Giants vs Chiefs betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
Not an especially tough call. This looks like a redux of Week 3's Giants-Buccaneers game, as New York is decidely better than the Chiefs in basically all phases of the game. The Giants will get an opportunity to play the scrubs in this one.

STAN’S PICK: Giants -8.5

Get detailed analysis on Giants vs Chiefs odds and other NFL Week 4 matchups in the Betting Edge.

Stan Simmons is one of's NFL experts.



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