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2012 NFL Football Betting – Packers Face A Big Challenge Against Giants

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/22/2012 5:30:22 PM

The Green Bay Packers have endured a number of injuries to their offensive line. This represents a considerable point of concern against the New York Giants' defensive front.

Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants – Sunday, November 25 
Football betting line: New York -2.5

Why Green Bay Will Win

When poker is played, the better dealer wins, and in this matchup between the Packers and Giants, it's clear that Green Bay has the superior quarterback. Aaron Rodgers' numbers haven't been as imposing or sexy as they were a year ago, when the Packers rolled to a 15-1 regular season record and seemed to do pretty much everything they wanted on offense. This year, the points have not flowed as freely for the Packers, and they haven't established the consistency or rhythm that the 2011 team managed to find, but yet, Green Bay is tied with Chicago for the NFC North Division lead with a 7-3 record through ten games. This is the work of Rodgers, a man who was sacked eight times by the Seattle Seahawks in September and who has been on the run a lot this year, as opposing defenses have frolicked against the Pack. Rodgers has been working with a piecemeal offensive line that has been ravaged by injuries. He has not been able to rely on the ability of the running game to make life easier for him and alleviate pressure on many levels. Down-and-distance situations have not favored Green Bay with the same degree of regularity that emerged last season. The fact that Rodgers has the Packers tied for the division lead – and in position to grab a first-round playoff bye over the final six weeks of the season – is a testament to how good he really is. While New York quarterback Eli Manning disintegrates into his typical November of mediocrity, Rodgers has maintained a high standard of performance, and this is why Green Bay should be trusted more on Sunday.

Why New York Will Win

It's not unheard of for 5dimes analysts to recommend that Aaron Rodgers should be bet against, but this is the kind of situation in which such a betting play makes complete sense.

Green Bay's offensive line is getting less and less healthy as the season goes along. Here's an Associated Press wire service report from November 13 on the dire situation the Packers are still trying to deal with:

"When (right tackle Bryan) Bulaga went out early in the second quarter against the Cardinals, the Packers shifted left guard T.J. Lang to right tackle and brought Evan Dietrich-Smith in off the bench to replace Lang at left guard. The only backup offensive linemen currently on the 53-man roster are undrafted rookie free agents Don Barclay and Greg Van Roten.

"The team’s 2011 first-round draft pick, Derek Sherrod, is on the physically unable to perform list because of the broken leg he suffered last December and he practiced on Monday for the first time in almost a year. The Packers must decide whether to activate him or place him on season-ending injured reserve by Nov. 28.

"In the meantime, if something happens to another starter, Barclay or Van Roten would be pressed into service."

New York's foremost strength is its defensive front. This is a matchup the Giants should relish.

Who Will Win

The Packers' offensive line is a source of concern. The Giants are rested after a bye week and are playing at home. Everything about this contest sets up favorably for New York. Bet on Big Blue against the Pack Attack.

NFL Football Betting Pick: New York Giants -2.5


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