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How To Bet On Texans Lions – Texans Move Closer To Home-Field Advantage

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/19/2012 5:24:45 PM

The Houston Texans can smell something other than turkey, stuffing, gravy, and mashed potatoes on Thanksgiving Day. They can smell home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs.

Houston Texans @ Detroit Lions – Thursday, November 22    
Betting line: No line

Why Houston Will Win

The online sports betting legal community found no reason to doubt the Houston Texans after the first few weeks of the season. The middle third of the NFL campaign is doing nothing to change anyone's mind about the team that has stood out as the AFC favorite since September.

Before the 2012 season, Houston had made its way into Super Bowl conversations, given the power of its running game and the fact that it won a playoff game last year with a backup quarterback, T.J. Yates. With regular No. 1 quarterback Matt Schaub in good health, Houston climbed in the estimation of many pundits who were hesitant to trust anyone from the AFC West and reluctant to put too much faith in Baltimore's depleted roster or Pittsburgh's increasingly difficult battle with the effects of old age. There were questions about the Texans, however: Was Schaub going to hold up under pressure? Would the defense maintain focus? Would the team as a whole avoid the bad losses it suffered last year, such as a road defeat to 2-14 Indianapolis?

All those questions have been answered the right way for Houston. The Texans have given NFL observers every reason to trust them as the season moves forward. Against Detroit, Houston will face an opponent that isn't disciplined on defense or particularly consistent on offense. The Texans' physicality and offensive balance should serve them well on the road.

Why Detroit Will Win

When football betting pundits look at the Lions' path to victory in this tilt, they're going to point out that Houston has to travel from its home base to Detroit with a short week, whereas the Lions – who play a home game on Sunday, Nov. 18 against Green Bay – will be able to stay at home and therefore recuperate better during the three days of down time before this contest. The other thing to realize about this game is that Detroit is hosting two of the better teams in the league, Green Bay and Houston.

The Lions know how much of a showcase this is for them. They're going to play with a high level of energy, and if their defense can exhibit top-notch intensity against Houston, a loud crowd in the domed environment at Ford Field could be disruptive to the Texans' offense. The Lions have struggled through the first two months of the season, but they know that with a big week in late November, they can give themselves one last shot at the postseason. They'll have a lot of incentive to play well here.

Who Will Win

It’s certainly possible that Detroit will win, but the Lions just haven't earned a bettor's trust this season. Houston, on the other hand, has been the picture of reliability. Pick the Texans here; it would be rough to make the low-percentage choice with the Lions and then lose.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Houston


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