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Jaguars vs Texans Odds - Houston passing attack will light up Jacksonville

Posted by D.J. Tomkins on 9/22/2009 8:40:54 AM
#image tag goes hereThe Jaguars vs Texans odds would’ve been a tight NFL betting matchup between divisional rivals most years, but things are changing in the AFC South. After the Texans torched the Titans in Week 2, they’re poised to throttle a Jags defense that can’t defend against the pass.

Jaguars vs Texans Odds: Texans -3.5 (Total: 46.5)

  • WHAT: NFL betting
  • WHEN: Sunday, September 27, 1:00 p.m. ET
  • WHERE: Reliant Stadium in Houston, TX
  • KEY STAT: Texans are 6-1 against the spread in last seven home games versus Jacksonville
  • PICK: Texans -3.5; OVER 46.5

Jaguars vs Texans odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
You could say this week’s matchup is a “reputation game.” If Jacksonville loses it falls to 0-3 and most online sports betting fans would thus write their playoff chances off. If Houston loses, the bandwagon will get a bit lighter as fans suspect another bust season. The odds are against Jacksonville, as the Texans dominate the series historically.

Jaguars vs Texans odds maker breakdown: Offense
The Jets stymied the Texans in Week 1 and the Houston hype train panicked. Then, after the Jets did the same to New England, we realized Houston’s loss was more about New York’s defensive prowess than anything else. The Texans went off against Tennessee in Week 2 as Matt Schaub threw four touchdown passes and Andre Johnson caught 10 balls for two scores. Against a Jaguar pass defense allowing 279.5 yards per game through the air this season, Houston should have a field day.

The Jags shouldn’t have a ton of trouble against Houston’s “D”; David Garrard is mobile enough to avoid Mario Williams and Maurice Jones-Drew could be in line for a career day after Chris Johnson lit up the Texans for 284 total yards and three scores.

Betting Edge: Texans

Jaguars vs Texans odds maker breakdown: Defense
Hmm. It’s tough to really give any team an “edge” when neither squad has played great defense so far this season. However, we can at least say Jacksonville has done an adequate job stopping the run through two games, led by tackling machine Justin Durant. The Jags could bottle up Steve Slaton, who hasn’t matched the promise he showed last season.

Betting Edge: Jaguars

Jaguars vs Texans odds maker breakdown: Special Teams
Houston has a major edge here. No one has emerged as an effective return man for Jacksonville and Josh Scobee has been off the mark early. Houston’s Jacoby Jones is averaging a respectable 24 yards per return and Kris Brown has been perfect in the kicking game thus far.

Betting Edge: Texans

Jaguars vs Texans odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
The Jags have lost Troy Williamson to a torn labrum for the season, but it’s not like he was setting the world on fire anyway. Houston has bigger concerns – possession receiver Kevin Walter’s hamstring and starting corner Jacques Reeves’ broken leg. They’ll feel the sting more.

Betting Edge: Jaguars

Jaguars vs Texans betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
It’s a tough time to cheer for Jacksonville. Their fan base is quitting and management is already gabbing about drafting Tim Tebow. They can’t defend the pass and their offense isn’t scaring anyone. All signs point to a Texans rout.

Because Houston isn’t great defensively, it will allow its share of points too. So you should definitely bet over the total.

STAN’S PICK: Texans -3.5; OVER 46.5

Check our sportsbook throughout the week for updated Jaguars vs Texans odds. Also, keep reading the Betting Edge for expert sports betting analysis on everything from NASCAR to Major League Baseball.

D.J. Tomkins is one of's NFL experts.



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