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2015 NFL Football Betting – Lions-Saints Preview

Posted by Stan Simmons on 12/18/2015 8:52:47 PM

The 15th week of the NFL season ends with a game which seemed to be an attractive matchup when the season began. However, everything’s spun horribly out of control for the Lions and the Saints, both limping to the finish line at the end of a miserable season.

Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints – Monday, December 21

Betting Line: Saints -3

Why The Lions Will Win

This is a game the Lions can certainly win. Detroit won at Green Bay this season, marking the first time in 24 years the Lions won in Lambeau Field. The Lions very nearly beat the Seattle Seahawks on the road on Monday Night Football earlier this season. This is a team which is still high on talent. Matthew Stafford can make every throw needed to succeed in the NFL. Calvin Johnson can make all sorts of catches and is still a very hard problem for defenses to solve. The thing is that Johnson drops too many passes, but he is still tall, still very rangy, and still a headache for opposing defensive backs and safeties. The Lions have all sorts of weapons which enable them to strike quickly on offense when everything’s clicking. They have a nasty defensive front seven which can get after the quarterback and, in this particular case, make life hell for Drew Brees, who has generally been under siege this season and has not been able to make enough plays to turn New Orleans into an elite offensive team.

The Lions also have the advantage of playing against a Saints defense which has had to let go of Rob Ryan as its defensive coordinator. The Saints have been very leaky and weak on defense this season. That’s something Detroit can really bank on as it prepares for this road game in New Orleans.

Why The Saints Will Win

The Saints might not have the best defense, but Detroit has a notoriously inconsistent offense. Stafford is one of those quarterbacks who, while he has a great arm, is known as someone who loads up on yards and not necessarily points. This is due to a number of factors, chiefly that he commits turnovers and causes the Lions to fall behind. When the Lions fall behind, they have to throw the ball even more often than before. Stafford gobbles up plenty of yards by throwing on nearly every down, with defenses in prevent alignments and willing to concede yards as long as the clock keeps running. Stafford might score touchdowns, but not when his team really needs them. He’ll score touchdowns when his team trails by two touchdowns and not one. Detroit is just not a trustworthy team, and Stafford represents that part of who the Lions are.

Detroit is coming off a poor offensive performance against St. Louis. The Lions aren’t playing as hard or as well as the Saints, who are coming off a solid road win at Tampa Bay. New Orleans is the team with more momentum right now.

Who Will Win

The Saints, playing at home, probably have the edge to begin with. The struggles of the Detroit offense suggest that New Orleans’ defense won’t suffer too much. That should be enough for the Saints to win a relatively high scoring game.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Saints -3


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