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Packers, Chargers Highlight Smart Underdog Plays For Week 4 In NFL

Posted by Stan Simmons on 9/17/2014 9:48:02 PM

The Dallas Cowboys, Cleveland Browns, and Chicago Bears all proved the benefits of paying attention to underdogs as all three came through with straight up wins last week. This week is a little tougher when it comes to finding smart underdog value but there are three plays in particular worth taking a look at.

Green Bay Packers (+2) @ Detroit Lions

Sunday, 1:00 PM ET

The Packers rallied from down double-digits against the New York Jets at home but it’s important to remember Rex Ryan’s team is slightly better than people give them credit for and Green Bay was still able to get the job done after a slow start. Meanwhile, the Lions were beat up by the Carolina Panthers as turnovers and missed opportunities cost them again. For as talented as Detroit is, it is hard to put money down on a team that constantly shoots itself in the foot. Aaron Rodgers and company have showed progress with every passing quarter and they could very well get the win this week as a two-point underdog on the road.

NFL Betting Pick: Green Bay Packers +2

San Diego Chargers (+2.5) @ Buffalo Bills

Sunday, 1:00 PM ET

The Chargers are coming off a big win over the defending Super Bowl champions and now they are slight underdogs on the road against a Buffalo team that is 2-0 after wins over the Chicago Bears and Miami Dolphins. That line accounts for the home advantage and the fact that San Diego has to travel across the country after an emotional win to play a game that will start at 11 AM pacific time but that might not matter as much as the experts think given the way Phillip Rivers is throwing the football right now. The Chargers have a ton of confidence and will attack from the outset on both sides of the ball including on a defense that will be the toughest that EJ Manuel will face to this point. Look for this game to stay close until the fourth quarter when San Diego will have a chance to pull out the underdog win.

NFL Betting Pick: San Diego Chargers +2.5

Washington Redskins (+6.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, 1:00 PM ET

The Eagles are 2-0 after wins over the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts and are primed for a big win in their home opener against a Redskins’ team that doesn’t have RGIII, right? Well, Philadelphia went just 4-4 at home a year ago and while they won both of their games against Washington this is a much different opponent than they beat up on last season. The Redskins could be better off with Kirk Cousins at this point and their defense showed flashes of dominance against an overmatched Jaguars’ offense last week. The Eagles have come back from double-digit deficits in each of the last two weeks and as long as the Washington offense doesn’t turn the ball over they should be able to at least keep this one close.

NFL Betting Pick: Washington Redskins +6.5


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