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Packers vs Bears Betting Odds - Packers to win in ugly fashion

Posted by D.J. Tomkins on 12/10/2009 3:41:32 PM

NFL Odds: Pick Packers -3

NFL lines and spreadsThe Packers vs Bears betting odds sets up what many online betting sharps believe to be a trap game for the Packers. They played on Monday Night Football, have a short week to prepare, and they’re facing the Super Bowl Champs next week. Even so, the Bears have basically quit on the season, and the fact that they have no running game and no support system for Jay Cutler doesn’t leave them with many ways to win this contest.

Packers vs Bears betting odds: Packers -3, Under 41
WHAT: NFL betting
WHEN: Sunday December 13th – 1:00 PM ET
WHERE: Soldier Field – Chicago, IL
KEY STAT: Bears are 0-5 ATS when playing a team with a winning record this year

Packers vs Bears betting odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
The Packers have won four straight games and are holding down the last NFC Wild Card spot. Even so, they are only one game up on the New York Giants and need to keep winning. They have a lot to play for while the Bears do not.

The Bears have won just twice in the last eight games and those two wins have come against Cleveland and St. Louis. Aside from a win against Pittsburgh, the Bears also have wins against Seattle and Detroit. This team just doesn’t have much left in the tank and they aren’t playing for much except to upend their division rival.

Betting Edge: Packers

Packers vs Bears betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
The Packers offense is humming right now and they’re even protecting Aaron Rodgers a little better. Sportsbook odds makers know that Rodgers is an underrated quarterback in the NFL, and he’s done as good of a job as getting everyone involved as anyone in the league. Rodgers has a shoddy offensive line and the running game is rarely around for support, but even so, Rodgers has a quarterback rating of 103.3 this year with 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions.

For the Bears, they also have a good quarterback, a bad offensive line and a weak running game. The difference is that the Bears have awful receivers right now that are of no use to Cutler. Cutler has a good arm and he can make great throws, but he’s getting hung out to dry by his offensive line and receivers.

Betting Edge: Packers

Packers vs Bears betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
The Packers defense is actually the top-ranked defense in the NFL in yards allowed, believe it or not. They have transitioned to the 3-4 defense this year, and after giving up 21.5 points per game in their first eight games, they’ve yielded just 14.3 points per game over the last four games. Cornerback Charles Woodson is making a case for defensive MVP and is leading the turnaround of this defense.

Meanwhile, NFL betting fans are having trouble recognizing the Bears defense. They used to be one of the best, but injuries and age have taken their toll. Aside from when they clamped down on Cleveland and St. Louis, the Rams have allowed 26.5 points per game. They’re facing an elite offense this week and they might need the weather’s help to slow them down.

Betting Edge: Packers

Packers vs Bears betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
The Packers might be without nose tackle Ryan Pickett, which could be a big loss. He anchors the middle of the defensive line, while ends Cullen Jenkins and Johnny Jolly are also banged up but expected to play.

Betting Edge: Bears

Packers vs Bears betting odds for total: 41
The Packers defense is playing well and the Bears offense is not. Meanwhile, the Bears defense should play better than they typically do, since they’re at home and the Packers might be a bit sluggish to start after playing on Monday Night Football. That should contribute to this game staying under, as well as the fact that there also might be some frigid temperatures for this contest.

Pick: Under 41

Packers vs Bears betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
The Bears might be the sharp pick, but it’s hard to trust them. They have a quarterback who leads the NFL in interceptions, they have one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL, their receivers are poor, and the offensive line doesn’t protect consistently. When you add those things up, along with the fact that the Packers have more to play for and that the Packers are simply the better team, the pick has to be Green Bay.

DJ’S PICK: Packers -3

For daily sports betting picks and analysis, check out the Betting Edge. There’s also plenty more numbers on the Packers vs Bears betting odds in our stats center.



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