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Packers Falcons Betting – Packers Exact Revenge On Falcons, Move To NFC Title Game

Posted by Stan Simmons on 1/13/2011 9:39:24 AM
packers falcons betting

Sports betting players are a bit fortunate in the second round of the playoffs as all four matchups feature teams that have met already this season. The Green Bay Packers lost in Atlanta to the Atlanta Falcons in the second half of the season, and it was only due to a couple of crucial mistakes. Look for the Packers to right those wrongs and make it back to the NFC championship game.

  • What: NFL betting
  • When: Saturday, January 15th, 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
  • Pick: Green Bay Packers +2.5

What’s On The Line

The Packers jumped to a 14-0 lead and held on for a 21-16 win over the Philadelphia Eagles to set up this rematch with the Falcons, who won the NFC for the first time since 2004. Green Bay outplayed Atlanta in the Georgia Dome in Week 12, but a goal-line fumble from Aaron Rodgers and a late drive from Matt Ryan was the difference in a 20-17 victory for the Falcons, so not only would the Packers like to move onto the NFC title game, they’d also like to avenge that loss.

Offensive Matchups: Packers Falcons Betting

The Green Bay offense was efficient against the Eagles, scoring on all three of their trips to the red zone, while Rodgers threw for 180 yards and three touchdowns with no picks. But the surprise of the game was James Starks, who ran for 123 yards. To put that in perspective, Starks ran for 129 yards all season, although he only played in three games. Starks would really come in handy against the Falcons, who held the Packers to 77 yards on the ground in the first meeting. That would take a lot of pressure off of Rodgers, who passed for 344 yards and a score in Week 12, but again, there was that fumble at the goal line in the second half.

Atlanta came in 16th in the league offensively, which may not sound that great, but they had just 16 turnovers, the lowest in the NFC and four fewer than Green Bay. Matt Ryan is 11th in the NFL in passer rating, and we all know how great his 20-2 mark at the Georgia dome is. The big question is Michael Turner, who was third in the league in rushing, but he failed to average four yards per carry in four of his last five games. He was a big factor in the Week 12 game as Turner ran for 110 yards and a touchdown, and that slows down the Packers’ blitzes, which in turn gives Ryan time to find the likes of Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez.

Betting Edge: Draw

Defensive Matchups: Packers Falcons Betting

Pressure is the name of the game for the Packers, who were second in the NFL in sacks during the regular season, and they got to Michael Vick three times last week. Vick had a decent game, but he paid for it, and the Packers definitely slowed him down. They’ll need more of the same against the Falcons because they had only two sacks in the first meeting, and Atlanta did a great job on Clay Matthews, who didn’t manage a sack. The matchup of Charles Woodson on White will be fun to watch as well as the reigning Defensive Player of the Year held White to five catches for 49 yards in the first game.

Again, the Falcons came in 16th defensively this season, but like last year’s Saints, they thrive off turnovers and their 21 picks are third in the NFC, although the Packers have one more. Atlanta also sometimes gives up big plays on the ground, and Starks is an explosive running back. Linebacker Curtis Lofton is the main man in Atlanta’s run defense, but he’s been bothered by a bad knee. Hopefully, he got some solid rest during the off week because the Falcons are going to need him.

Betting Edge: Packers

Notable Injuries: Packers Falcons Betting

Linebacker Frank Zombo (knee), fullback Korey Hall (knee), and safety Atari Bigby (groin) will have to get through practice this week in order to get on the field for the Packers.

Lofton (knee) was held out of the second half of Atlanta’s regular-season finale against Carolina, but he should be good to go for the Falcons.

Betting Edge: Falcons

Outlook and Pick: Packers Falcons Betting

NFL betting odds have made the Falcons a 2.5-point favorite at home in this contest, and they’re now 2-1 SU and ATS in their three meetings with the Packers inside the Georgia Dome since 1992. Much has been made of Ryan’s record at home, but again, they were a Rodgers fumble away from a loss, and they also fell to the New Orleans Saints at home late in the season. We’re willing to stick with the Packers, who have some momentum coming into this game and like last week, we’re counting on the Green Bay defense to step up. All they need to do is force a couple of turnovers, and the Packers will come away with another road win in your online betting book.

Stan’s Pick: Green Bay Packers



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