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NFL Betting: Patriots Are Commanding Favorites Against Bills This Weekend

Posted by Stan Simmons on 9/7/2013 2:26:54 AM

The Buffalo Bills were seen as a huge underdog at the beginning of the week. They might not be as much of an underdog now, but they face an uphill climb against the New England Patriots.

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills – Sunday, September 8

Betting line: Patriots -11

Why New England Will Win

When people who frequently try their hand atonline bettingare confronted by the reality of a new NFL season, they can usually determine the areas of foremost concern for various teams. For the Buffalo Bills, though, just about every facet of the team is cause for alarm. Start at quarterback, where the Bills might be in a better situation than they were five days ago, but are still in a very deficient position overall. At the start of the week, it was felt by many that Jeff Tuel, the team’s third-string quarterback, was going to be the starter for this game due to injuries suffered by the top two quarterbacks on the depth chart, veteran Kevin Kolb and rookie E.J. Manuel. However, in recent days, Manuel has made enough improvements that head coach Doug Marrone has felt comfortable enough to give him the nod for Sunday’s contest. This might be good news for Buffalo in a very immediate context – Tuel is probably not as good as Manuel – but Manuel is still a rookie who will be making his NFL debut against Bill Belichick and a lot of quality veteran players. This is not a situation that is or should be conducive to a good performance for Manuel, and Buffalo has to have as much if it wants to stay anywhere close to the Patriots in this game for 60 minutes.

Sport bettingexperts know that the Patriots hold the cards in this game. With Tom Brady back for another season and a solid offensive line in place, New England should be able to overcome the player losses (Aaron Hernandez), injuries (Rob Gronkowski), and distractions (Tim Tebow, not to mention Hernandez as well) that have shadowed the team in the offseason. Buffalo is not in New England’s league, and the truth of the matter should be obvious.

Why Buffalo Will Win

When people in the online sports betting legalcommunity try to assess this game, they’re going to look to the fact that New England will be without its two foremost tight ends from 2012. Aaron Hernandez is, of course, in jail on charges of murder. Rob Gronkowski will be out of the lineup for the first several games of the season. Without these options, it’s going to be harder for Brady to find open receivers on third down, especially situations such as third and four or third and six. New England’s deficiencies in the passing game could catch up with the Patriots as this game unfolds. Buffalo can make use of a break here or there and steal a win in the fourth quarter.

Who Will Win

The Patriots don’t have their full complement of players, but they have a lot more proven talent than the Bills do. New England is going to win this game comfortably.

NFL Betting Pick: Patriots -11


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