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Patriots Dolphins Betting Predictions – Dolphins, In Second Place In AFC East, Go For More

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/28/2012 7:05:27 PM

TheMiami Dolphins are improbably still in the AFC playoff picture through 11 games. If they can beat the New England Patriots this Sunday, their postseason prospects become more real.

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins–Sunday, December 2

NFL betting line: New England -8.5

Why New England Will Win

Many an online casino does good business based on the hopefulness of bettors and the speculative quality of various casino games. The NFL can feel like a casino game at times, but taking the Patriots over the Dolphins doesn't feel like that much of a gamble.

Yes, New England does not have a great defense, and it has wobbled in a number of games it has won this season, especially a home game against the New York Jets and another home game against the Buffalo Bills. You might think that the Patriots are vulnerable heading into Miami, and perhaps that's marginally true, but on a larger scale, New England is in very good shape entering this game.

One thing to keep in mind is that when you take away Miami's 17-point fourth quarter against the Seattle Seahawks last Sunday, the Dolphins have been dreadfully bad on offense in recent weeks. The Dolphins' offense had 10 total points in its previous two games. Miami hadn't rushed for more than 100 yards as a team in any game since Week 3, before finally topping that mark against Seattle, thanks largely to one quarter of productivity. New England's defense doesn't need to be dynamic in this game to hold Miami to a modest total of 17, 20 or 23 points. As long as the Patriots hold the Dolphins to that number of points, New England's offense should be able to torch Miami's highly suspect cornerbacks. The Dolphins' secondary is not the strong suit of the team's defense, so the Patriots and Tom Brady should be able to throw the ball consistently and to great effect.

Why Miami Will Win

Whenathletes and the teams containing them show a poker face, they're trying to hide behind difficult truths on many occasions. Yet, for all the difficult truths the Miami Dolphins do in fact face, they definitely have a shot at this game against New England.

The Patriots' defense is spotty… spotty enough to get shredded by the likes of New York Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez several weeks ago (not on Thanksgiving night, but earlier, when the Jets had the Pats on the ropes in Foxborough, Mass.). New England's secondary also got eviscerated by Buffalo quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick in a wild shootout earlier in the season. If New England can give up a lot of yards to those passers, Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill – who produced 17 fourth-quarter points for his team this past Sunday against Seattle – can certainly answer the call and lead the Dolphins to a big outing against the Patriots.

Miami has been given a new injection of hope thanks to that comeback win over Seattle. The Dolphins are now back in the playoff hunt and know that they can make a legitimate push for the postseason right here and now.

Who Will Win

It’s possible that Miami's defense will rise up, but New England has the right matchups here. Tom Brady should be able to do what he wants as long as he gets adequate pass protection. Miami's offense won't exploit New England's evident vulnerabilities, either. Take the Patriots here.

NFL Football Betting Pick: New England


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