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Predictions For Betting On Bills Lions - Bills Try To Get Tarvaris Jackson Involved In A Short Time

Posted by Tony Bryant on 8/28/2012 6:51:49 PM

The Buffalo Bills, just before their preseason finale, have traded to acquire quarterback Tarvaris Jackson as their backup. This means that Jackson should get a lot of repetitions on Thursday.

Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions – Thursday, August 30    
Sport betting line: No line

Why Buffalo Will Win

When football betting gurus do their homework and grapple with the psychological dimensions of this game, they'll see a scenario under which Buffalo can prevail. Detroit is a team that made the playoffs last year and is therefore facing the imposing challenge of getting back to the playoffs for a second consecutive season. It's often hard for playoff teams to continue to return to the playoffs because they're not used to the grind that accompanies a postseason journey. When one season lasts longer than usual, a team therefore has a shorter offseason than normal. Preparation time, physically and mentally, is more limited. Moreover, other teams throughout the NFL take that postseason team more seriously in the subsequent regular season.

This dynamic is most visibly in evidence with respect to Super Bowl teams, due to the fact that a Super Bowl run carries a team into the month of February. The Lions did not make the Super Bowl, but the basic point remains that Detroit will have to spill a lot of mental energy to climb back to the playoffs in 2012 (January of 2013, to be more precise). Knowing that the coming regular season is going to be so profoundly arduous, the Lions are likely going to play this game in a comparatively relaxed manner. Buffalo will therefore push harder and do the kinds of blue-collar things – especially at the line of scrimmage – that are needed to win a football game.

Why Detroit Will Win

Even if you don't care for online casino games, you can appreciate how the odds should favor Detroit in this exhibition affair. Buffalo has just traded for quarterback Tarvaris Jackson from the Seattle Seahawks, meaning that backup signal caller Vince Young is likely to leave the Bills in the very near future. Jackson, by joining the Bills' roster at this point, is occupying the backup position behind starter Ryan Fitzpatrick. Because this is week four of the preseason, it's hard to expect Fitzpatrick to play more than one quarter.

The Bills have to give Jackson as much work as they possibly and realistically can. Yet, the cold reality of the situation is that Jackson is simply not very familiar with the Bills' playbook. He has to learn the system on the fly and will have to be given a simplified game plan for this tilt. One must also point out that the weakest part of Detroit's defense is its secondary. Jackson and the Bills are not in a good position to exploit the Lions' back line of defense. 

Who Will Win

It’s just too obvious to ignore: Jackson, who – by the way – is not a particularly impressive quarterback (he couldn't cut it as a starter with Seattle), has to learn on the run and log a lot of snaps in this game. He won't be operating with many resources, so Detroit – despite playing mostly backups – should still be in good position to win this game.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Detroit



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