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Raiders vs Cowboys Betting Odds - Struggling Romo, Dallas offense keeps Cowboys from covering

Posted by Stan Simmons on 11/23/2009 1:41:57 PM
NFL linesOnline betting players can’t have much faith in the Dallas Cowboys’ offense right now, as Tony Romo looks to be starting his December fade a bit early this year. The Cowboys host Oakland on Thanksgiving, and while Dallas should have enough talent to come away with the win, their sputtering offense will keep this from being a blowout.

Raiders vs Cowboys betting odds: Cowboys -14 (Totals: 40.5)
WHAT: NFL betting
WHEN: Thursday, November 26, 4:15 PM ET
WHERE: Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
KEY STAT: Dallas is 4-5 as an ATS favorite: Oakland is 5-4 as an ATS underdog
PICK: Oakland +14

Raiders vs Cowboys betting odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
The Raiders (3-7) overcame the NFL betting odds for an upset of Cincinnati at home behind Bruce Gradkowski, who replaced the ineffective JaMarcus Russell at quarterback. The Cowboys (7-3) barely beat NFC East rivals Washington 7-6 at home, and the offense has some questions to answer ahead of their annual Thanksgiving Day contest.

Betting Edge: Cowboys

Raiders vs Cowboys betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
Oakland wasn’t a juggernaut against the Bengals, and they still committed three turnovers in just over 21 minutes of ball possession. Still, Gradkowski went 17-of-34 for 183 yards, a pick and a pair of touchdowns, one of which came with 33 seconds left when he hooked up with Louis Murphy. He made the throws he needed to make, and he’ll definitely be the starter again this week.

Tony Romo was 15-of-27 for 158 yards, a touchdown and a pick, but he was bailed out against the Redskins by a solid ground game that racked up 153 yards, and their defense. This was their second straight game with only a touchdown, and it appears the offense may be ready to go into their annual late-season swoon. Still, they’re better than the Raiders offensively.

Betting Edge: Cowboys

Raiders vs Cowboys betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
The Raiders’ defense is actually better than the stats, but they’re often left hung out to dry by their anemic offense. Their pass defense, led by shutdown corner Nmandi Asomugha, is actually very good, but the run defense is terrible, ranking 30th in the NFL.

The Dallas defense is keeping their team in games with their recent play, but they did allow 246 yards against an awful Washington offense, and they only sacked Jason Campbell once during the game. Look for DeMarcus Ware to have a big impact on this game against the Oakland offensive line.

Betting Edge: Draw

Raiders vs Cowboys betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Richard Seymour (back) left the Cincinnati game early for precautionary reasons, while Isaiah Ekejiuba (knee) will probably miss this game. Greg Ellis (knee), the Raiders’ leading sacker, fought through the pain against the Bengals.

Romo (back) hurt himself making a tackle against the Redskins, but he should be fine to go this week. Ken Hamlin (ankle) is a huge loss for the secondary, and the Cowboys are still dealing with the loss of offensive lineman Marc Colombo (knee).

Betting Edge: Raiders

Raiders vs Cowboys betting odds for total: 40.5
Two of the last three games between these two have gone under the posted total in your sportsbook, and this should also be a low-scoring affair. The Cowboys’ offense is inconsistent, and it appears as though teams have caught on to the Romo/Miles Austin duo. Meanwhile, the Oakland offense is probably a little better with Gradkowski at the helm, but not enough to get excited over.

Pick: UNDER 40.5

Raiders vs Cowboys betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
The Cowboys have dropped three straight against the Raiders, but they’re 26-14-1 on Thanksgiving Day, so this should be the year that they end that run. However, two touchdowns may be too large of a spread as the Cowboys haven’t covered in their last two games, and Oakland is a decent 5-4 ATS as an underdog, a familiar spot for them. If history is an indicator, Romo is only going to get worse, and that doesn’t bode well for NFL betting players looking to bet with the Cowboys.

STAN’S PICK: Raiders +14

For the best sports betting tips and betting picks in the industry, Stan has it locked down in the Betting Edge at For more on the Raiders vs Cowboys matchup, check out our stats section.



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