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Ravens vs Browns Odds - Rice, Ravens will run the ball to victory

Posted by D.J. Tomkins on 11/13/2009 10:57:36 AM
NFL line bettingRavens vs Browns odds make their way to Monday night this week, and it's the "old Browns" vs the current ones. There's little doubt Cleveland fans still haven't forgiven the team's exit over a decade ago, so knocking off the Ravens on Monday night might ease the pain of a dreadful season.

Ravens vs Browns odds: Ravens -10.5 (TOTAL: 40)
WHAT: NFL odds
WHEN: Monday, Nov. 16 at 8:30 p.m. ET
WHERE: Cleveland Browns Stadium
KEY STAT: Browns have the NFL's worst run defense
PICK: Ravens -10.5

Ravens vs Browns odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
Baltimore's up-and-down season continues; one week it looks like a Super Bowl contender, the next a non-playoff team. The Ravens looked like the latter in last week's 17-7 loss to the Bengals. Cincy swept Baltimore in the season series, effectively killing the Ravens' chances of winning the AFC North.

The Browns don't have to worry about winning the AFC North—they've only won once this season. Cleveland has lost three straight, including last week's 30-6 loss to the Bears. Finally, Brady Quinn is taking over at quarterback again, not that it's much consolation to sports betting fans.

Ravens vs Browns odds maker breakdown: Offense
Cleveland's offense has been atrocious. Running back Jamal Lewis plans to retire at the end of the season and nobody is stopping him. Derek Anderson has been a train wreck at quarterback; to put it into perspective, his passer rating is lower than JaMarcus Russell's. Now Quinn gets one last chance to prove he's the future of the franchise.

The Ravens have found a gifted star in Ray Rice. Win or lose he makes his presence felt; even if there's little room to run he impacts the pass game, and Rice is on pace for over 90 catches this season. That said, the offense struggled last week against Cincinnati. Consistency is a bit of an issue for this young unit.

Betting Edge: Ravens

Ravens vs Browns odds maker breakdown: Defense
The once-vaunted Ravens "D" is no more. On the bride side, the defense has looked much sharper since the bye week, holding Denver and Cincinnati to 24 total points. Neither is much of an offense juggernaut but neither is Cleveland—the Ravens should keep things under control.

The Browns are a disaster on defense. They're allowing 26 points per game and have intercepted only four passes. A glaring lack of pass rush is a major key, but there are holes everywhere, especially on the ground—Cleveland has the second-worst run defense in the NFL.

Betting Edge: Ravens

Ravens vs Browns odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Baltimore's Fabian Washington left last week's game with a thigh contusion, but rookie Lardarius Webb played much better in his place. The Browns have some bumps and bruises but nothing especially important—though it's hard to find a player they could lose that would make them any worse.

Betting Edge: Even

Ravens vs Browns odds for total: 40
The Ravens can rely on running and ball control against the soft Cleveland defense, which should keep their scoring output relatively in check. The Browns, meanwhile, aren't a threat to score much at all. Take the under at the sportsbook.

Pick: UNDER 40

Ravens vs Browns betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
There's no getting around it—this is a brutal mismatch. The Ravens have been hard to read, but the Browns haven't; they're terrible. Bet on Baltimore to run the ball like crazy and get the job done.

DJ'S PICK: Ravens -10.5

Get insight on all the Week 10 NFL matchups, including Ravens vs Browns odds, in the Betting Edge.



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