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Saints vs Dolphins Odds - Brees, Saints air out Dolphins to stay unbeaten

Posted by Stan Simmons on 10/20/2009 11:29:46 AM
NFL linesNew Orleans were thought of as an online betting sleeper in the NFL, but people are starting to believe after a 5-0 start. The Saints head to Miami on Sunday to face the Dolphins and their Wildcat offense, and both of these offenses have the potential to light it up. However, Miami’s inability to defend against the pass will be the end of them against the run-and-gun Saints.

Saints vs Dolphins Odds: Saints -6.5

  • WHAT: NFL betting
  • WHEN: Sunday, October 25, 4:15 PM ET
  • WHERE: LandShark Stadium, Miami, FL
  • KEY STAT: These two have split four meetings since 1992
  • PICK: Saints -6.5, OVER 47

Saints vs Dolphins odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
The Saints (5-0) have rolled through the league, and they made mincemeat of the Giants’ defense in a 48-27 romp over New York at home. The Dolphins (2-3) are coming off a bye, but they had won two in a row before their off-week. New Orleans wants to keep it rolling, but the Dolphins are just trying to stay alive in the AFC East.

Betting Edge: Draw

Saints vs Dolphins odds maker breakdown: Offense
New Orleans’ No.1 offense has scored 45 points or more in three of their five games, and they racked up 493 yards against a Giants defense that is known as one of the best in the league. Drew Brees may be the best quarterback in the league right now, and he’s showing what he can do with healthy weapons.

The Dolphins’ Wildcat offense has led them to the top of the NFL in terms of rushing, which takes a lot of pressure off of Chad Henne, who has looked decent since replacing the injured Chad Pennington, and his ability to throw the deep ball is something that Pennington couldn’t offer.

Betting Edge: Saints

Saints vs Dolphins odds maker breakdown: Defense
Under new coordinator Gregg Williams, the Saints are the No.9 defense in the NFL, and they forced a pair of turnovers out of the Giants. Darren Sharper has five picks already, with two touchdowns, and the Saints are fifth in the league against the run.

The Dolphins are tenth in defense, including third against the run. However, in a pass-happy division like the AFC East, Miami tried to bolster their pass defense by drafting corner Vontae Davis and welcoming Jason Taylor back to the Sunshine State, but they’re only 18th defending the pass.

Betting Edge: Saints

Saints vs Dolphins odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Corner Leigh Torrance (hamstring) missed the Giants’ game and linebacker Scott Fujita (calf) is questionable this week, so losing Fujita would put a bigger dent in the Saints’ offshore sportsbook odds. Fujita is fifth on the team in tackles.

Linebacker Joey Porter (hamstring) won’t practice much, but he’ll probably play this week, which helps the Dolphins’ pass rush.

Betting Edge: Dolphins

Saints vs Dolphins odds for total: 47
This has all the makings of an over, as the Dolphins have problems against the pass, while New Orleans could struggle with Miami’s Wildcat. Both have gone over the posted total in three of their five games this season.

Pick: OVER 47

Saints vs Dolphins betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
Many are touting the Saints as a Super Bowl favorite after their hot start, but the season is still young and they still some improvement to make defensively. Miami will be a stiff test for them because of their unpredictable offense, and if they handled Rex Ryan’s blitzes two weeks ago against the Jets, they should do fine against Williams and the Saints. However, their pass defense will take a beating from Brees, who could break the record for passing yards this year.

STAN’S PICK: Saints -6.5

For more sports betting tips and picks as we head towards the Super Bowl, bookmark Stan in the Betting Edge at For more on the Saints vs Dolphins matchup, check out our stats section.

Stan Simmons is one of's NFL experts.



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