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Saints Falcons Betting Tips – Falcons Can Put The Saints On The Playoff Ropes

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/26/2012 5:29:20 PM

The Atlanta Falcons' only loss of the 2012 NFL season came a few weeks ago to the New Orleans Saints. Naturally, the NFC's best team will want revenge this Thursday night.

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons – Thursday, November 29
NFL betting line: Atlanta -3.5

Why New Orleans Will Win

The betting websites that are taking action on this game will certainly see a way in which New Orleans can prevail. The main thing that has to be said is that the Saints, with Drew Brees at quarterback, can attack any defense from any angle and any spot on the field at any time. The Saints might have lost this past week at home to the San Francisco 49ers, but one has to remember that San Francisco has one of the very best defensive lines in the NFL, a line that is appreciably better than the one the Atlanta Falcons possess. As long as Brees gets time to operate, he should be able to pick apart the Falcons' secondary and give the Saints a chance to ring up 30, 34, or 35 points. If that's indeed the case, a more resilient New Orleans defense should be able to make just enough plays to win… as was the case in the Saints' recent win over the Falcons in the earlier part of November.

One other point to keep in mind about New Orleans' defense is that while San Francisco scored 31 against the Saints this past Sunday, 14 of those points came on pick-sixes gained by the Niners' defense. Therefore, the Saints' defense actually surrendered only 17 points. It played quite well and has clearly improved its level of play as the season has developed. New Orleans was not on task in the first six to seven weeks of the season, but as more players have regained rhythm and the coaching staff has acquired more continuity in this season of transition and turmoil, the Saints' defense has gotten better. The Saints lost last week, but they're still an improving team on a larger level.

Why Atlanta Will Win

When playing poker, you need composure. This is what the Falcons have, and this is why they're so good. Atlanta lost to New Orleans a few weeks ago. This might unnerve a lot of teams in a rematch, but the Falcons will probably play disciplined football. They won't get overanxious in the quest for revenge. They know that they can deal New Orleans a crippling blow on Thursday, giving the Saints a seventh loss and basically forcing them to win each of their final four games just to have a shot at the postseason. Atlanta will go about its business in a steady and professional manner. The Falcons, who have been so good at winning close games this season – as shown by this past Sunday's one-point win at Tampa Bay – should be able to make the plays they need to make in key situations.

Who Will Win

The Saints won the last time these two teams played, but the Falcons have been so consistent this year that they should be expected to return the favor. Atlanta, playing at home, should get a great performance out of Matt Ryan. That should be enough to fend off New Orleans.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Atlanta

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