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Steelers vs Chiefs Betting Odds - Mendenhall's fine season will continue against Chiefs

Posted by Stan Simmons on 11/19/2009 11:42:15 AM
NFL linesThere's little doubt who will win Steelers vs Chiefs odds outright, but whether or not Pittsburgh can cover a double-digit spread is another question. Look for the Steelers to run the ball heavily in this matchup, which means slowly building a lead and eventually covering NFL odds.

Steelers vs Chiefs betting odds: Steelers -10 (TOTAL: 40)
WHAT: NFL sports betting
WHEN: Sunday, Nov. 22 at 1:00 p.m. ET
WHERE: Arrowhead Stadium
KEY STAT: Chiefs allowing 141 rushing yards per game
PICK: Steelers -10

Steelers vs Chiefs betting odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
Pittsburgh finds itself in a bit of a hole in the AFC North after getting swept by the Bengals. Last week's 18-12 loss to Cincy drove the point hope—the Steelers aren't the only bad boys in the division anymore. Pittsburgh had won five straight before the loss, though.

Kansas City added its second win of the season last week, topping the Raiders 16-10. Both victories came on the road, so Chiefs fans should be very fired up to get their first win of the year at Arrowhead.

Steelers vs Chiefs betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
Pittsburgh's balanced offense came up short against the Bengals, mustering just 226 total yards. Ben Roethlisberger struggled all day, going 20/40 for 174 yards and a score while taking four sacks. Generally, much more can be expected from the Steelers, who average 23 points per game.

The Chiefs, on the other hand, scrape by offensively. They rank 27th in the league at 15.8 points per game and quarterback Matt Cassel has "bust" written all over him. The running game showed signs of improvement against the Raiders, though. No longer stuck behind plodding malcontent Larry Johnson, Jamaal Charles carried 18 times for 103 yards and a touchdown.

Betting Edge: Steelers

Steelers vs Chiefs betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
Pittsburgh owns one of the best defenses in the NFL; last week's loss can't be blamed on the "D," which allowed just 218 yards and no offensive touchdowns (the Steelers did allow a return touchdown for the seventh straight game). Kansas City's newfound running game won't have much of a chance against Pittsburgh, which ranks first at 69.3 rush yards allowed per game.

The Chiefs, by contrast, have been pummeled on the ground; Steelers running back Rashard Mendenhall is poised for a big afternoon. The pass defense isn't exactly stalwart either—it suffers from a brutal pass rush that has registered only 12 sacks this season, second-worst in the league.

Betting Edge: Steelers

Steelers vs Chiefs betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
No. 1 Chiefs receiver Dwayne Bowe has been suspended for violating the league's substance-abuse policy (according to speculation, he used a diuretic to shed weight). Steelers safety Troy Polamalu will likely miss the game with a lingering knee injury.

Betting Edge: Chiefs

Steelers vs Chiefs betting odds for total: 40
Pittsburgh will run the ball early and often, thus eating up clock and lessening the number of scores on the board. Kansas City isn't likely to put up many points against this top-rated defense, so take the under at your sportsbook.

Pick: UNDER 40

Steelers vs Chiefs betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
Kansas City is getting gashed for 141 yards per game on the ground. That's trouble against the hard-running Mendenhall, who is averaging 94 yards per start. The Chiefs' only offensive hope is also the ground game, but they simply won't be able to penetrate the Steelers "D." They'll cover late thanks to the running game, but bet on Pittsburgh to take care of business this week.

STAN'S PICK: Steelers -10

The Betting Edge has all you need to know about Week 11 NFL odds, including Steelers vs Chiefs odds.



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