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Super Bowl Totals – Super Bowl over/under set at 56

Posted by Tony Bryant on 1/25/2010 3:51:33 PM

The Super Bowl totals are always one of the most bet on lines come Super Bowl time and this year will be no different. The Super Bowl line is up and the over/under is set at a whopping 56. Considering we have the top offense in the NFL matching up another prolific unit, we should see points aplenty in this contest.


Super Bowl Totals: Over/Under 56

Both teams combined to score 57.9 points per game in the regular season
Both teams led by prolific quarterbacks, offenses
Venue could be a factor for keeping this game under

Colts offense versus Saints defense: Super Bowl Totals
The Colts offense is very methodical and the Saints, regardless of how much they have improved, will have a tough time slowing them down.

When you look back at the teams that have given the Colts – and more specifically, Peyton Manning – trouble, it has been teams that run a 3-4 defense (the New England Patriots, San Diego Chargers, Pittsburgh Steelers etc.).

Teams that line up in a 4-3 base system and blitz doesn’t really both Manning, which likely means that he’ll do whatever he wants to the Saints defense.


Saints offense versus Colts defense: Super Bowl Totals
While the Colts defense has improved over the years, online betting cappers should expect at least three touchdowns from the Saints in this game.

The Saints offensive line is very underrated and that fact alone, combined with the fact that Drew Brees releases the football as quickly as anyone, will keep Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis at bay.

Furthermore, the Saints have a big advantage on the outside with their receivers versus the Colts defensive backs. That means points should be pouring in.


Why The Game Might Go Over: Super Bowl Totals
It’s no secret to the bettors, the pundits or the sportsbook odds makers that both teams have stellar offenses and mediocre defenses. When the punches start to get thrown, points can start racking up in a hurry in a slug fest.

On top of that, neither team really runs the ball well, which probably means the clock won’t be milked too much. In the regular season, these two teams combined to score 57.9 points per game, which is higher than the set total of 56. Based on that alone, playing the over could present good value.


Why The Game Might Stay Under: Super Bowl Totals
There are a few reasons to like the under in this contest. For one, we have two indoor teams playing outdoors, which means that they won’t have the same type of speed that they would inside. Also, the elements – if there are any in Miami – might be a factor.

Also, NFL betting cappers have to keep in mind that this is the Super Bowl. Both teams will be a bit nervous to start and both teams may take some time to feel each other out. With a total as high as 56, one slow quarter is all it takes to make the under.

Outlook & Pick: Super Bowl Totals

With these offenses and both units not really having much of a running game to speak of, over has to be the play. These teams are capable of 42 in a half, never mind 56 in an entire game. As long as they get scoring from the jump, they’ll go over.

Pick: Over 56


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