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Tips For Betting On Bills Colts – Colts Try To Regain Form Against Bills

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/20/2012 5:28:14 PM

The Buffalo Bills are coming off a rare win. The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a loss. Does this mean that Buffalo owns the advantage heading into Sunday's tilt? We'll see.

Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts – Sunday, November 26   
Online betting line: Indianapolis -3

Why Buffalo Will Win

In much the same way that an online poker game offers that river card you don't expect, the Buffalo Bills could turn out to have more surprises in store this Sunday.
For one thing, Buffalo's defense finally got healthy in its most recent game, a 19-14 win over the Miami Dolphins. The Bills owned one of the most maligned defenses in football, but against Miami, they looked extremely good. Buffalo managed to get a consistent, steady pass rush, something it had been hoping for since the beginning of September, but only against the Dolphins did the front four earn the paychecks it has been pulling down this season. Seeing such an authoritative performance on the defensive side of the ball should give the Bills a great deal of optimism and confidence. This was such a point of hope for the franchise – not just the players, but the coaching staff and the front office – in the offseason. Now that the Bills have gained a five-star effort from their defense, they might become a transformed club over the final six weeks of the season.

One other reason to take Buffalo in this game is that the Bills played that Miami game on Thursday, Nov. 15. The extra two and a half days of rest will have Buffalo fresh for this contest. The Bills will feel the grind of the NFL season to a much lesser extent than the Colts. This will help them out on Sunday.

Why Indianapolis Will Win

When NFL betting students do their homework in preparation for this game, they will realize that the Colts, for all their weaknesses and deficiencies, are still the better team. Buffalo quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick did not do much of anything in the Bills' recent win over the Miami Dolphins. Buffalo needed a punt return to score its lone touchdown in a 19-14 triumph. Fitzpatrick never led the Bills' offense into the end zone. He has crumbled in crunch-time moments this season, throwing late-game interceptions in the red zone and committing other errors that have sabotaged the Bills' hopes.

In contrast to Fitzpatrick, Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck has been much more impressive in the heat of battle. Luck has led multiple game-winning scoring drives in the fourth quarters of games. He has gone toe-to-toe with some of the NFL's best quarterbacks this season.

One might be concerned with the fact that Indianapolis collapsed this past Sunday against the New England Patriots, getting smoked in a 59-24 decision. Luck flinched against Tom Brady, making the Colts look worse than at any other point this season. Indianapolis could be downgraded after that game, but the Colts are young enough to know that they were going up against a very experienced club. Indianapolis will learn lessons from the New England debacle and regroup against an inferior Buffalo side.

Who Will Win

It’s going to be a bounce-back kind of game for Indianapolis. The Colts have more and better talent, especially on offense. Playing at home will give them the comfort zone they'll need.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Indianapolis


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