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Tips For Betting On Chargers Chiefs – Chargers Try To Get Back On Track Versus Chiefs

Posted by Tony Bryant on 9/25/2012 6:44:13 PM

The San Diego Chargers began their season by winning their first two games. They ran into a roadblock this past weekend against the Atlanta Falcons. Can they bounce back in Kansas City?

San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs – Sunday, September 30   
Football betting line: San Diego -1

Why San Diego Will Win

When poker is played, you never know when the Chargers are going to flourish or fold. This week, the needle could move in San Diego's direction, favoring the Bolts as they try to maintain their one-game lead in the AFC West. San Diego has been inconsistent in recent seasons, but part of this dynamic means that as soon as you think the Chargers are going to plummet, they rebound. The Chargers looked miserable this past week against the Atlanta Falcons, failing to show any consistency whatsoever on the offensive side of the ball. Quarterback Philip Rivers didn't play his best, but he was not given much time by his offensive line, which got blown off the ball by a very confident and aggressive Atlanta front four. Kansas City's front four is not as imposing as Atlanta's, however, and Rivers – if given more time to throw – should be able to establish the rapport with his receivers that he developed in week two against Tennessee.

It also has to be said that Kansas City has been the beneficiary of the New Orleans Saints' chaotic and tumultuous offseason. New Orleans simply isn't the same without suspended head coach Sean Payton, and the Chiefs – despite failing to score a lot of touchdowns this past Sunday (only one) – were able to win in overtime. The Chargers aren't likely to score only one touchdown in this game. Kansas City's offense has a lot to prove, and the Chiefs should not be seen as a superior team just because of their win in New Orleans.

Why Kansas City Will Win

It's not unheard of for betting analysts to change their opinions on a game, but week three's results might change the calculus of this week-four tilt.

No, it's not as though the Chiefs are suddenly a good team; Kansas City still has an inconsistent offense with a quarterback (Matt Cassel) who has to grow into the position. The real reason why the Chiefs look like a better choice in this game is that San Diego looks a lot worse.

The Chargers got exposed by Atlanta's defense this past weekend. The Chiefs aren't as powerful as the Falcons up front, but they are appreciably fast, and playing at home in Kansas City's Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs should be able to contain the Chargers' offense. Kansas City will have a lot to look at in its film study of San Diego's offense; head coach Romeo Crennel, a defense-first guy, can make a lot of adjustments to his team's game plan.

The fact that Kansas City is coming off a win won't mean everything, but the Chiefs will take the field with a little more confidence… enough to prove decisive.

Who Will Win

This feels like a game that will be close from start to finish, with neither team gaining much of any separation on the scoreboard. Kansas City's defense should be able to set the tone and create short fields for its offense, winning a 17-14 kind of game.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Kansas City



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