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Tips For Betting On Dolphins Bills – Bills Have An Opening Against The Dolphins

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/12/2012 5:31:31 PM

The Buffalo Bills haven't won many home games this season. They'll get a chance to do so this Thursday night when they host the reeling Miami Dolphins, who are rapidly losing ground.

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills – Thursday, November 15    
Betting line: Buffalo -1

Why Miami Will Win

When football betting gurus look at this contest, they're not going to think that Miami has a chance based on its assemblage of talent. They're going to stress the point that Buffalo is a team that has a magnetic attraction to failure. The Bills were just about to beat the New England Patriots last weekend. Buffalo was driving inside the New England red zone in the final minute of regulation. Everything was coming together for an offense that had already produced 31 points and was on the cusp of scoring a 38-37 victory. However, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick – who has been mistake-prone not just throughout the entirety of this season, but throughout his entire NFL career – threw a really bad interception to seal a Buffalo loss.

Fitzpatrick did not just throw any kind of interception, or an interception in which a cornerback makes a high-level, above-average play to rob a quarterback and an offense of a golden scoring chance. The interception was both a bad throw and a bad decision, made at a point in time when the Bills still had plays left if Fitzpatrick had taken them. When a player isn’t open in a late-game situation on a first- or second-down play, a quarterback has to be able to throw the ball out of bounds and live to play another down. Fitzpatrick did not do this against New England, and he doesn't do so in general. The Bills have to be crushed by this defeat. It's going to be hard for them to pick up the pieces just a few days later against the Dolphins, who should benefit as a result.

Why Buffalo Will Win

Various online sports betting legal outlets are going to give more favorable odds to Buffalo in this game. Miami might know that Buffalo is emotionally reeling, but the Dolphins are a team that's playing at a much lower level than the Bills are at the moment. Miami cratered in a total disaster against the Tennessee Titans this past weekend. People within the organization probably felt that a close loss to the Indianapolis Colts the week before offered reasons to be encouraged, but it's clear that that three-point defeat took the wind out of Miami's sails. The Dolphins were listless against Tennessee, and now their confidence is shattered. Buffalo can mop up against Miami at home.

Who Will Win

If there's any doubt about the winner of this game, one should lean to the Bills. Buffalo has at least shown a pulse on offense in recent weeks, while Miami and Tannehill show every sign of regressing into a second-half-of-the-season shell. It's logical to take Buffalo at home in a night game. Miami will have difficulty dealing with cold-weather conditions in Western New York.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Buffalo


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