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Tips For Betting On Dolphins Cardinals – Cardinals Try To Remain Unbeaten In Week Four

Posted by Tony Bryant on 9/26/2012 7:00:31 PM

The Arizona Cardinals are clearly the most pleasant surprise in the NFL after three games. The Redbirds will try to continue their magic run in the Desert Southwest as they face Miami.

Miami Dolphins @ Arizona Cardinals – Sunday, September 30   
Betting line: Arizona -7

Why Miami Will Win

The outlets – online sports betting legal ones – that are examining this game will not be too quick to think that Arizona should be a runaway favorite. After all, Miami – for all of its weaknesses, especially on offense – should be a double-digit underdog in a road game against an unbeaten team. Moreover, Miami is flying across the country and three time zones to play this game. Shouldn't Miami be an 11-point underdog? Clearly, betting experts and the people who set the odds think that this will be a closer game than the casual fan might expect.

Upsets and volatility have been a theme in the NFL this season. San Francisco was a solid favorite, but not a huge one, at Minnesota in week three. There was no truly logical reason to think that the Vikings would upend the 49ers, other than the possibility that a letdown would occur on the San Francisco sideline. That's precisely what happened. Arizona has enjoyed a terrific start to its season in which everything has bounced just right.

The Cardinals could have lost to Seattle in week one, but the Seahawks dropped a pass on fourth and goal in the end zone in the final 30 seconds of regulation. Arizona then escaped New England with a two-point victory on a day when one of the Patriots' best pass catchers, Aaron Hernandez, suffered an injury that will keep him out for roughly one month. Then, this past weekend against Philadelphia, the Cardinals were about to give up a field goal to the Eagles just before halftime, only for Philly quarterback Michael Vick to fumble. The Cardinals returned the fumble 97 yards for a touchdown and a 24-point lead.

Everything is breaking right for Arizona. That run of luck simply can't and won't last forever. That's why the odds are soon to cut against the Cardinals.

Why Arizona Will Win

When football betting pundits look at this game, they will realize that the Cardinals are defying the odds – that point won't be denied. However, the effective and convincing counterpoint is that if Arizona plays below its best level, Miami is not the kind of team that's ready to take advantage of such a possibility.

The Dolphins are going to struggle on offense. That's just a reality against an Arizona defense that hasn't allowed more than 18 points in any of its first three games this season. Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill is struggling as a passer. He repeatedly overthrew open receivers this past weekend against the New York Jets. In particular, Tannehill could not hit receivers on sideline routes – he missed receivers who were flying down the sideline on go routes or wheel routes, and he missed receives who made late breaks toward the sideline on out routes. Arizona will contain Miami's offense, and that will be the end of that.

Who Will Win

It’s hard to see how Miami will score anything more than 17 points. As long as Arizona doesn't fall apart on offense and can piece together just a few solid drives, the Cardinals should have enough to win this game, probably by a double-digit margin.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Arizona

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