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NFL Betting: Vikings Quickly Face Must-Win Situation In The 2013 Season

Posted by Stan Simmons on 9/11/2013 7:40:00 PM

The Minnesota Vikings were supposed to beat the Detroit Lions in week one, but they didn’t do the deed. Now, their game against the Chicago Bears becomes that much more important.

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears – Sunday, September 15

Betting line: Bears -7

Why Minnesota Will Win

This is a great bounce-back opportunity for the Vikings. Chicago might be a bit on the overconfident side after a week-one win over the Cincinnati Bengals. The Vikings, meanwhile, know that even though it’s only week two, they really have to respond against another divisional foe. It’s pretty simple to frame this game in urgent terms for Minnesota. The Vikings have already lost one division game this season. If they go to 0-2, they won’t just be two games under .500. They will be 0-2 in the division and will therefore find it hard to win various tiebreakers at the end of the season if they somehow get back into the mix for a playoff spot. The stakes are so high for the Vikings that the situation should bring forth a much better performance from them. Christian Ponder was very shaky in week one, but a week of film study plus a calm evaluation of what this game means to his team should enable him to make various adjustments and improvements.

A sound sports betting play doesn’t have to reinvent the wheel. It just needs to look at the existing facts and parameters of a given matchup and make the appropriate decision in response. Minnesota looked like a 6-10 team against Detroit, but is that same team going to show up two weeks in a row? It’s doubtful. There’s too much talent on this team for the Vikings to make the playoffs one year and then fall apart the next. One should expect Minnesota to be fundamentally resilient instead of weak-minded.

Why Chicago Will Win

This is a game in which the Bears know that they have a chance to put some distance between themselves and the Vikings, and they are going to relish the opportunity. Minnesota was not expected to be a playoff team in 2012, but the Vikings received above-average performances from a lot of young and untested defensive players. Quarterback Christian Ponder was not brilliant, but he exceeded expectations. Minnesota and Chicago both finished 10-6, but the Vikings won the tiebreaker and moved on to the playoffs. Chicago wants to be able to strike back at Minnesota, and with the Vikings having lost to Detroit, the Bears know that they can gain a two-game lead with a win here on Sunday.

The community of online sports betting specialists should be able to look at this contest in a sober manner and conclude that Chicago’s level of motivation should be just as high as Minnesota’s. Football betting number-crunchers might look at this game as a reflection of the teams’ levels of quality, and if that’s the case, Ponder’s dreadful showing against Detroit suggests that Chicago’s secondary should be able to thrive against Minnesota’s passing attack.

Who Will Win

For all the other ways you can analyze this game, the point remains that if Minnesota can’t throw well, Adrian Peterson’s value and presence will be minimized. Expect Chicago to win, because Christian Ponder is a mess.

NFL Betting Pick: Bears -7


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