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Vikings Packers Betting – Packers’ “D” Shows Up Against Minnesota

Posted by Stan Simmons on 11/11/2011 3:32:07 PM
vikings packers betting

While Green Bay are the online betting favorites to repeat as Super Bowl champions, their defensive play has left a lot to be desired as the offense has been carrying the team. Look for an inspired effort at home when they host Minnesota, who has a rookie quarterback who is learning his way around.

What: NFL Betting
When: Monday, November 14th, 8:30 PM ET 
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Pick: Green Bay Packers -13.5

Why Bet On Minnesota Vikings (2-6 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)

The Vikings are coming off a much-needed bye and there is reason to be optimistic as the team has been more competitive since rookie Christian Ponder replaced Donovan McNabb as the starting quarterback. He kept them in a loss to Green Bay in Week 7, then Ponder followed it up with another strong performance in a win over Carolina, and the more effective he is, the better it is for Adrian Peterson, who is Minnesota’s biggest offensive weapon by leaps and bounds. Another problem is that the Vikings have no receivers: Percy Harvin has been hurting, while Michael Jenkins is average but currently, he is Minnesota’s No.1 receiver. Peterson is leading the league in runs against eight-man fronts because the opposition doesn’t respect their passing game. If Ponder can continue to improve, that helps their NFL betting odds. The defense is ranked 20th in the NFL, and end Jared Allen is tops in the NFL with 12.5 sacks, but the Vikings are still 30th against the pass. 

Harvin (ribs) says he feels better after the bye, and the Vikings need all the weapons they can to keep up with the Vikings. Guard Anthony Herrera (knee) is out for this game, but he was also out against the Panthers and he wasn’t missed. The Vikings can surprise a lot of people with a strong second half and it starts with their rookie pivot, because as he gets better, that opens holes for Peterson, who leads the NFL in rushing despite seeing so many eight-man front. Now, can the defense step up and contain the explosive Packers?

Why Bet On Green Bay Packers (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS)

If someone tells you that Aaron Rodgers isn’t the best player in football this season, you shouldn’t take their advice on anything. He put together another brilliant performance in a 45-38 victory in San Diego, going 21-of-26 for 247 yards and four touchdowns, and he added another 52 yards on the ground. The Packers ran for 136 yards, which took a little pressure off Rodgers, but it doesn’t even matter at that point; he is on one of those runs where he looks impossible to stop. However, he has weapons galore and Jordy Nelson was the major recipient in San Diego, catching five passes for 105 yards and a score, but Greg Jennings and Jermichael Finley combined for 11 catches and two touchdowns as well. The defense, while continuing to give up yards at a feverish pace, forced three turnovers and ran two of them back to the end zone on back-to-back possessions in the first quarter, which proved to be the difference.

However, you have to wonder how much longer the Packers can continue to get away with allowing that many yards as Green Bay is 30th in the league in total defense, and 31st against the pass. It’s strange when you consider the amount of talent they have, and at least they’re leading the NFC with 19 takeaways. Remember, New Orleans’ defense was 25th in 2009, but their ability to force turnovers helped them win a Super Bowl and with Rodgers in the zone, it’s not out of the question that the Packers can repeat, but a better defense would make things a lot easier. On the injury front, tackle Chad Clifton (hamstring) is still a few weeks away from returning, cornerback Sam Shields (concussion) was cleared to practice, linebacker Frank Zombo (hamstring) returns to the sidelines and end Mike Neal (knee) practiced for the first time this season.

How It Will Play Out

NFL betting odds have the Packers as a 13.5-point favorite over the Vikings at Lambeau Field, where Green Bay is 3-0 ATS this season, while Minnesota is 2-2 ATS away from home. The Packers are 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five home games against the Vikings, with three games going over the posted total. Green Bay won 33-27 in Minnesota in Week 7, and they took control with a 20-0 third quarter, but Ponder showed a lot of poise to bring the Vikings back and threaten the Packers.

This is all on the Green Bay defense as the offense will continue to put up points, and they should pull it together at home. While Ponder has played well in his first two games, going on the road to Lambeau is a different story and nerves may get the better of him. Take the Packers to cover the sports betting spread at home.

Vikings Packers Betting Pick: Green Bay Packers

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