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Vikings Packers Betting Predictions – Vikings And Packers Meet In High-Stakes Showdown

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/26/2012 5:40:15 PM

The Minnesota Vikings aren't as good as the Green Bay Packers on the merits, but they'll be facing a considerably banged-up Green Bay team this week, giving them a shot at an upset.

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers – Sunday, December 2   
Football betting line: Packers -10

Why Minnesota Will Win

When poker is played, surprises can always unfold, and the fact that Green Bay is so beset by injuries is what should give the Vikings the belief that they can win on Sunday at Lambeau Field.

The calculus really hasn't changed for the Packers over the past week. You saw how the New York Giants gobbled up Green Bay on Sunday Night Football. The Packers' offensive line is a mash unit, and the Giants' formidable defensive line moved in for the kill, hammering Aaron Rodgers and limiting the Pack Attack to just 10 points.
If you missed this note last week, here's a reminder where the Packers stood before the Giants game, according to the Associated Press:

"When (right tackle Bryan) Bulaga went out early in the second quarter against the Cardinals, the Packers shifted left guard T.J. Lang to right tackle and brought Evan Dietrich-Smith in off the bench to replace Lang at left guard. The only backup offensive linemen currently on the 53-man roster are undrafted rookie free agents Don Barclay and Greg Van Roten.

"The team’s 2011 first-round draft pick, Derek Sherrod, is on the physically unable to perform list because of the broken leg he suffered last December and he practiced on Monday (Nov. 12) for the first time in almost a year."

Green Bay is desperately scrambling to try to fill positions on its offensive line. Linebacker Clay Matthews is also hurt, as is Sam Shields, one of the anchors in the team's secondary. Charles Woodson is not at full strength, and the list goes on and on and on. Minnesota can beat a wounded Green Bay squad. The Vikings are catching the Packers at the right time.

Why Green Bay Will Win

Betting analysts have to be fascinated by the fact that the Vikings, after a bye week and given a chance to heal up, were so pancake-flat in their game against the Chicago Bears. The Vikings fell behind, 25-3, in the second quarter, and never made the game remotely competitive. The youthfulness of the Vikings came into play. It was as if the team thought that a bye week would cure its ills and solve its problems. The Minnesota roster collectively seemed to treat the bye week as a vacation, almost a reward, for going 6-4 in its first 10 games of the season. Players on the team did not do the mental work of preparing for the next game, the next test, the next challenge. Minnesota has revealed itself as an immature ballclub, one that is not ready to make the next step on the road to a playoff berth. Green Bay is beaten up, but the Packers have a much more disciplined and professional attitude than the Vikings do.

Who Will Win

The Vikings are healthier, but they're not smarter or more resourceful. Green Bay will find a way to stay close and make clutch plays at the end. Take the Packers at home field. They will relish playing this game at home and not in Minneapolis.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Green Bay


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