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The Obstacles

Posted by on 5/26/2014 9:15:37 PM

Besides having another tough test in 5 weeks, besides the travel, besides the hoopla, online sports betting site players need to focus on the competition in trying to identify the main obstacles to California Chrome in the Belmont Stakes.

And California Chrome has not scared anybody away as a full field is in prospect. Generally, the Derby and Preakness winner discourages competition. No horse has won the Triple Crown facing more than 7 rivals. Secretariat and Affirmed, both won in 5-horse fields.

Make no doubt about it; the logistics of the race are a concern. That is one reason why there has not been a Triple Crown winner since 1978.

Affirmed, ironically, was Santa Anita based in his glory year. I personally watched him train several times early in the year before he went on to beat all comers.

As far as the equine obstacles, let’s look at the Preakness runner-up Ride On Curlin. He was totally compromised in the Derby, had to deal with the marooned slot at Pimlico, but he made a huge move to get within striking distance and the top of the lane and was closing into California Chrome late.

He was nearly 7 lengths clear of the show horse, Social Inclusion, and he has the pedigree to be stout enough to pull off the upset on June 7.

Ride On Curlin’s sire was a 2-time Horse of the Year and his female family has stamina stamped all over it with winners of the Jockey Club Gold Cup, Flower Bowl and Belmont.

Belmont Park can be a tough place to ride, especially at the unusual distance of a mile and a half but Ride On Curlin’s Joel Rosario knows the track and should not be surprised by anything on Belmont Day.

Social Inclusion can be his own worst enemy. He acts up at the gate and that is not just a case of being immature but also a case that something may not be quite right. If he can stay cool, calm and collected, he has the positional speed to make the others come running.

Samratt, a genuine player, doesn’t appear to really want to go a marathon distance.

Tonalist is a new face that must be respected. He was impressive in the Peter Pan, has tactical zip, is in the good hands of Chris Clement and that trainer can get a horse to go a distance of ground.

Intense Holiday will need to run much better to win the Belmont. He was the wise-guy horse before the Derby but backed up badly.

Kid Cruz has a shot to improve. He is comfortable at Belmont, just threw in a horrible race at Pimlico but he has the blood as his sire Lemon Drop Kid won the 1999 Belmont Stakes.

With that said, the will have to run to beat California Chrome. He seems to have taken to the strip at Belmont and his style will give him a shot to make a run at the top of the lane. If he is good enough, he’ll be a handful.

Stay tuned.



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