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Surprise Surprise

Posted by on 11/4/2014 8:44:32 PM

The writing was on the proverbial wall in the very first Breeders’ Cup race last Saturday when the longest shot on the board, Take Charge Brandi, did just that and took the Juvenile Fillies wire-to-wire at 61-1.

It was not only an omen of how things would roll out, only one BC favorite won on Saturday, but also it became quickly apparent the speed was the thing to have and being close up was the place to be.

First 3 races on the under card were won in front-running style and it continued the rest of the day.

After Brandi kicked things off, it just got better for the longshot players.

Dayatthespa took the Filly and Mare Turf at 5 and a half to one. Judy the Beauty proved the only successful favorite when winning the Filly and Mare Sprint but she did it only by a head over the 23-1 shot Better Lucky.

Bobby’s Kitten took the Turf Sprint at a smooth $16.40. Then the 2-year-old picture was ripped wide open when Texas Red closed into a ridiculous pace to pay nearly $30 in the Juvenile.

The favorite in the Turf, Telescope, was on the outside looking in Saturday when beaten by the 6-1 Main Sequence.

The common man was represented in the Sprint when Work All Week sat just off the pace early, got to the lead and was a length in front at the top of the lane, and then prevailed by a half-length at a fat 19-1.

The Europeans Karakontie and Anodin dominated in the Mile coming from 10th and 12 respectively to complete a one-dollar $331 exacta.

Karakontie paid $62 and $33 to place.

Then, it kind of ended like it started, with speed dominating and surprising the majority of the crowd. The first 3 leaders in the Classic, Bayern, Toast of New York and California Chrome, finished just that way at the end of a mile and quarter when Bayern held on by a scant nose at 6-1.

It was official yet and it took time for the stewards to straighten things out.

Post position plays more of a part of the outcome of horse races than some think. It can be down played most of the time, expect in the big races like the Kentucky Derby when post 1 is disadvantageous because a horse has to be loaded into the gate first and is there for a long time.

In the Classic, things may have been much different if Bayern was not directly outside of Shared Belief. As things happened, Bayern put on his left hand blinker coming out of the gate and rolled into Shared Belief, who then pinballed into the other speed Moreno.

It was a case of double good luck for the eventual winner and bad luck for the others. Bayern put the kibosh on the favoriteShared Belief and also bothered Moreno in the process, the horse that would have compromised his chances to win the Classic in front-running fashion.

The coming out by Bayern was not intentional, nobody is going to take a chance like that on such a big stage, but it was just horse racing.

That’s why they run them.

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