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Kentucky Derby Betting – Ride On Curlin’ Wins The “Run For The Roses”

Posted by on 4/30/2014 9:38:37 PM

The Kentucky Derby kicks off the quest for the Triple Crown on Saturday, with 20 top horses ready to go. It will, as always, take place at Churchill Downs at a distance of 1 ¼ miles, and it will be run on dirt with a purse of $2,000,000.

In a loaded field of winning horses, Ride On Curlin’ will rise to the top for a prestigious win.

What: Horse Betting
When: Saturday, May 3rd, 6:45 PM ET
Where: Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY
Pick: Ride On Curlin’

California Chrome has blossomed as a three-year-old, winning his last four starts, including the Grade-2 San Felipe and the Grade-1 Santa Anita Derby. He’ll probably come into this race as one of the favorites for Saturday’s showdown.

Candy Boy finished third in the Santa Anita Derby after winning the Grade-2 Robert B. Lewis in February, but he has run just half of his six starts on dirt, so he isn’t as experienced there as many in the rest of the field.

Chitu came in behind Candy Boy in the Robert B. Lewis, then won the Grade-3 Sunland Derby in March, but how does he stack up in a loaded field like the Kentucky Derby? He’ll likely be a darkhorse, but he’ll be worth a look.

Commanding Curve will be an even longer shot after finishing third in the Grade-2 Louisiana Derby, but that followed a sixth in the Grade-2 Risen Star and he needed four tries to break his maiden. 

Dance With Fate won the Grade-1 Blue Grass earlier this month, but that was on a synthetic surface and just two of his eight starts have come on dirt. He is intriguing, but take that into account.

Danza showed he was a threat by winning the Grade-1 Arkansas Derby, but this will be just his second graded-stakes start, so some are skeptical about his lack of experience.

General A.Rod ran third in the Grade-3 Florida Derby after finishing second in the Grade-2 Fountain Of Youth, so he is used to running at the front, but how will he fare against a larger field. He looks like an interesting mid-pack horse in terms of the odds.

Harry’s Holiday will probably be the longshot of the race after finishing 13th in the Blue Grass, and he has run his last three starts on a synthetic surface. There isn’t much to be encouraged over about this colt, and it would be a miracle if he won.

Hoppertunity won the Grade-2 Rebel Stakes and then finished second in the Santa Anita Derby, so this will be a favorite of the players this weekend. He has been brought along slowly, but he is passing all tests.

Intense Holiday won the Grade-2 Risen Star, then finished second in the Louisiana Derby and he has run in six straights races of a Grade-1 or Grade-2 level, so he is used to the spotlight. This is a horse worth throwing a little money down on.

Medal Count won the Grade-3 Transylvania and then ran second in the Blue Grass just eight days later, but in his two starts on dirt, he has finished 11th in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and fifth in the Fountain Of Youth. Dirt just might not be his surface.

Ride On Curlin might be the most consistent horse in the field, finishing third or better in eight of his nine starts, but he has no graded-stakes wins after finishing second in the Arkansas Derby. Can he finally close down the stretch in a big race?

Samraat will be another horse to watch after going unbeaten in his first five starts, then finishing second in the Grade-1 Wood Memorial. This will be his shot to go to the top of the three-year-old ranks.

Tapiture ran fourth in the Arkansas Derby, his first finish outside the top three in six starts, and his result in that race shouldn’t scare bettors off. This is a talented horse that has the speed to win on Saturday.

Uncle Sigh came in fifth in the Wood, but he had a win and three second-place runs prior to that. However, he stumbled in the Wood and that was his biggest race.

Vicar’s In Trouble won the Louisiana Derby and will be one of the favorites on Saturday. He has three wins in five starts and the field could be in trouble if this horse runs his best race.

Vinceremos has fallen down the ranks after finishing 14th in the Blue Grass, but that was his first race on a synthetic surface. He had two wins and two second-place runs on dirt, so you might be able to get him at a good price.

We Miss Artie won the Grade-3 Spiral, but in his two graded-stakes races on dirt, he finished seventh and eighth, so that knocks him down a peg. 

Wicked Strong won the Wood, but he also has a fourth in an allowance race and a ninth in the Holy Bull Stakes this year. He might be a little overrated in the odds.

Wildcat Red rounds out the field, and he has finished first or second in all seven of his career starts, including a second in the Florida Derby. He might have some value for bettors.

How It Will Play Out

Ride On Curlin’ has the pedigree (Curlin’ was the American Three-Year-Old Of The Year in 2007) and the consistency. He’ll find another gear for the win on Saturday.

Kentucky Derby Betting Pick:  Ride On Curlin’

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