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Delaware Oaks Betting – Lovely Maria Cruises To Victory In Delaware

Posted by on 7/10/2015 11:08:42 PM

The Delaware Oaks is a Grade-3 race for fillies that are three years old, and it is held at Delaware Park Racetrack. The purse of $300,000 has attracted some major players in the past and there is at least one horse this weekend that should be going on to the big time in October.

This is a solid field, but Lovely Maria should have no problems dominating this race, which is run over 1 1/16 miles on dirt. She'll be pointed towards the Breeders' Cup, which will be held over Halloween weekend.

What : Horse Betting

When : Saturday, July 11th, 2015, post time 5:45 PM ET

Where : Delaware Park Racetrack, Stanton, DE

Pick : Lovely Maria

Bar Of Gold struggled in her first big test after breaking her maiden on her first try, then winning an allowance race. She took two and a half months off and then finished sixth at the Grade-1 Acorn last month and she still hasn't run more than a mile in a competitive race, so that has to be worrying for horse betting players.

Calamity Kate finished eighth in the aforementioned Acorn, and this filly has been inconsistent throughout her career, needing three tries to break her maiden, then finishing ninth at the Grade-1 Alcibiades, then second at the Grade-2 Demoiselle. Also, the Acorn was her first start since November, so no one knows what version of Calamity Kate will show up at Delaware Park.

Danzatrice is the third horse in this field that ran at the Acorn and she finished fourth there, her first finish outside of the money in five starts. The Acord was a solid test for her and she held up well, but now we'll see how she fares down the stretch as she has never run more than a mile; how will she handle that final 1/16 of mile?

Hip Hop N Jazz has to be considered a very long shot to win this race, but anything can happen as she broke her maiden on her debut. However, we don't know how she'll do against much better competition and that maiden race was six furlongs long. This might be a matter of throwing this filly out there and see how she'll do in the long run. But again, anything can happen in the world of high-stakes horse racing.

Lovely Maria, on the other hand, will be the favorite by a mile going into this race as she has finished first (three times) or second in each of her five starts. She followed up her win at the Grade-1 Ashland in April with a massive win at the Grade-1 Kentucky Oaks, which is the Kentucky Derby for fillies, and she should be headed towards the Breeders' Cup at the end of October anyway, but a win wouldn't be a bad thing, especially if it is convincing.

Milaya has failed to break her maiden in four attempts so far and then she finished fifth at the non-graded Our Mims, so you shouldn't have high hopes for this filly. She has split her time on the track between turf and dirt, with poor results in both, and this might be another situation where her handlers are just trying to see what they have here.

Peace And War finished second at the Our Mims, but she has struggled in graded-stakes races. She did manage to win the Alcibiades, somehow, but in her other three graded-stakes starts, she has finished sixth or worse. Which version of Peace And War will show up on Saturday at Delaware Park? We will have to see.

White Clover won the Our Mims for her first victory in six starts, but she has just one graded-stakes start and finished seventh at the Grade-3 Rachel Alexandra in February. She'll need to step up her game a lot to finish in the money, especially when you consider that the Rachel Alexandra was the only time in which she has run more than a mile and failed miserably.

How It Will Play Out

If any other filly besides Lovely Maria wins, it will be one of the biggest upsets of the year for either fillies or colts. Even though the best horse doesn't always win, she is head and shoulders above the rest of the field and it'll take another filly running the race of her life, combined with a mistake from Lovely Maria, for another filly to win it.

Delaware Oaks Betting Pick: Lovely Maria



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