Remember me Reset Password


Beware Of Trainer Speak

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 5/31/2010 3:47:33 PM


It looks like a decent field of between 10 and 12 will try to steal the money in the Big Apple in the Belmont Stakes but this is the time to be careful when evaluating what is said about the race and please don’t take it for gospel.

This is not to say that trainers intentionally mislead the press, but there was an inside joke that went around for years that a certain Hall of Fame trainer, who is absolutely revered, never lies, UNLESS, his mouth is moving.

With that said, and knowing that a conditioners can not, because of his loyalty to his owner, knock a runner, sharp observers and handicappers have to know how to read ‘in between the lines’ when digesting quotes coming to the Belmont this week.

Let’s take a look Back to the Future in regard to what was said coming to the Kentucky Derby this year.

Bob Baffert’s Conveyance drilled a bullet :59 and 4/5 in his last work before the Derby and this is what his trainer had to say afterward, Baffert: “He worked well. He went off easily like we wanted him to, and he finished up really well through the stretch. He looked like his old self. I saw what I was looking for.”

Result: The runner had the lead for three quarters of a mile and ended up 15th.

Awesome Act was 5th choice in the Derby at 11-1 and he recorded the second best of 24 spins at the distance in his final prep. Julien Leparoux, who was up for the work, was giddy over the exercise. “It was a very nice work. He did it very easy. He went over the track very good. He loved (the muddy track), so I won't be scared about it.”

Result: After being wide early, Act only beat one to the wire.

To hammer the point home but at the complete other end of the spectrum consider what Nick Zito had to say about his likely Belmont Stakes chalk Ice Box after he had galloped a few days before the Derby, Zito “He kind of trains like (Strike the Gold), acts like him. He's a late-developing horse; he ran in Florida; ran the right races. Of course, Strike the Gold finished second in the Florida Derby and this horse won the Florida Derby. I like his chances, I really do.”

Result: After steadying not once, not twice, but three times, all Ice Box did was rally from 11th at the top of the lane to complete the exacta with Super Saver.

The key in these final days before the Belmont is to use common sense, smarts and then consider the source when reading quotes from connections.


Chalk or no chalk that is the question?

Nearly 43% of the favorites have won the Belmont in the prior 141 runnings but a half dozen of the last 11 winners paid 11-1 or more.

Although is can be a Herculean task, know that the average superfecta in the Belmont the last decade has paid over 6 times as much as the average trifecta.

Lastly, New York’s favorite son Zito has been sitting in waiting for this race and he must be respected.

Since 2004, 5 of his runners have cracked the trifecta with 2 winning and one running second. The prices of the winners were over 35-1.



↑ Back to page content
Media Logos

At BetOnline, our company’s guiding principle is to establish long-lasting, positive relationships with our customers. BetOnline is perfect for those who like to stay on top of all the latest sports & horse racing odds or play a few games in the online casino. We have built our reputation on giving our clients nothing but high-quality service and once you have worked with us, you will realize why we are regarded as a leader.

From our customer service to our cutting-edge technology, enticing contests and dedication to putting the best product out on the marketplace, BetOnline is always striving to improve and we take the wants and needs of our customers very seriously. We are always looking for suggestions to make our product better, and client input allows us to build a relationship that will last for a lifetime.

Trust is tough to create and it is even tougher to maintain, which is why we always keep the lines of communication open with our clients at BetOnline, and the best part is that it will not cost you a dime.

Head over to our world-famous sportsbook, where you will find live lines for all major sporting events, but that is not all because at BetOnline, you will also find the Betting Edge, which is a constant stream of advice from people that spend countless hours looking over trends and statistics, so you don’t have to. You get an honest and educated opinion for people that truly love sports, and we are always updating the section to keep you up on what’s happening in current in the world of sports.

The racebook is another fantastic section at BetOnline, as you can get a headstart on the Triple Crown season by reading over our articles to give you an idea of the winning horses. We don’t just focus on the Triple Crown at BetOnline; you can find information on races all year around and that will help you out when it comes time to watch the major thoroughbred horse races.

You can also check out our casino, where you can play the latest games powered by the latest technology. From poker to card games, slots and everything in between, we have you covered at BetOnline.

We have contests and promotions galore as BetOnline is all about what our clients want, so check it out and if you have any inquiries, never hesitate to get in touch with us. Betonline because your can!

↑ Back to top