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Orb Holds Off Shanghai Bobby At Gulfstream Park

Posted by Marco Sussman on 3/31/2013 6:50:58 PM

Online betting players should definitely check out the Grade-1 Florida Derby, one of the biggest races on the Kentucky Derby prep trail and this 1 1/8-mile race at Gulfstream Park usually sends their winner to Churchill Downs. In an exciting race, Orb will pull out a tight victory over another favorite.

What: Horse Betting
When: Saturday, March 30th, post time TBA
Where: Gulfstream Park, Hallandale Beach, FL
Pick: Orb

Are You Kidding Me will be making his eighth career start, but only his third in a graded-stakes event after finishing second in the Grade-2 Summer Stakes last September, and then following that with a fifth-place run in the Grade-1 Breeders’ Futurity in October. His first 2012 start ended in a second in an allowance race at Tampa Bay Downs, but this will be a much tougher test for the colt.

Frac Daddy is looking to bounce back from a sixth-place result in the Grade-3 Holy Bull Stakes back in January, and he’ll need a good run on Saturday to get back on track after a promising second-place finish at the Grade-2 Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs in November. Was the Holy Bull simply a bad race? We’ll see on Saturday.

Indy’s Illusion has won just once in six starts, and that’s a poor record when five of them have either been in an allowance or maiden race. In his lone graded-stakes event, Indy’s Illusion finished fifth in the Grade-2 Remsen last November. He may be out of his league in this Grade-1 race on Saturday, and this race may be more for his long-term plans, rather than to go to the Kentucky Derby.

Itsmyluckyday may be the odds-on horse betting favorite on Saturday after rolling to the victory in the Holy Bull at Gulfstream Park, and that was his fifth win in nine career starts. However, there were a couple of poor finishes (by his standards) in late 2012 and even though this colt seems to be back on track, you never know what will happen in the world of thoroughbred horse racing.

Merit Man is coming off a respectable fourth-place finish in the Grade-2 Hutcheson Stakes at Gulfstream Park last month, but he has never raced in an event longer than seven furlongs and the Florida Derby is nine furlongs in length. This colt seemed to tire a bit down the stretch at the Hutcheson and his handlers will be hoping that he can hang on in the latter part of the race.

Narvaez has never made a start in a graded-stakes event, needing three tries to break his maiden and then he took first place in his second attempt at an allowance race at Gulfstream Park earlier this month. This colt probably won’t have great horse betting odds for this race as the step up in competition will be huge and like Indy’s Illusion, this may be a race where his handlers are looking much further down the road as opposed to May at Churchill Downs.

 

Orb has won his last three races, but the first two were allowance and maiden events. With his victory in the Grade-2 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park last month, Orb announced that he is going to be a major player on the road to the Kentucky Derby and a win on Saturday would put every horse betting player on notice that he is a force to be reckoned with.

On the other hand, Pick Of The Litter is making just his third start and he broke his maiden at Gulfstream Park after finishing ninth in his first attempt. That means he’ll likely be a horse betting darkhorse on Saturday, but at least Pick Of The Litter has a better finish at a longer distance, which could pay off in this race.

Pontiff has a similar record to Pick Of The Litter as he finished ninth in his debut (a maiden at Gulfstream Park), and then second, so he may have longer odds than the above horse, so don’t expect much from Pontiff, a horse that may need a few breaks in order to even finish third or above.

Finally, Shanghai Bobby will be trying to get back to his winning ways after finishing second for the first time in six starts at the Holy Bull. After five wins to start his career, a second-place result isn’t bad, but a win on Saturday would firmly put Shanghai Bobby back near the top of the Kentucky Derby favorites.

How It Will Play Out

Look for Shanghai Bobby to, once again, come up just short at Gulfstream Park as Orb surges to the front for a big sports betting victory.

Florida Derby Betting Pick: Orb

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