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Horse Racing Odds - Grade 1 Pick 3 at the Spa looks hitable

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 4/26/2012 10:04:23 AM
  • Who: Thoroughbreds – Indian Blessing, Munnings, Big Drama, Quality Road
  • What: Horse Racing Odds – The Ballerina, The King’s Bishop, The Travers
  • Where: Saratoga
  • When: Saturday, August 29th

Rain is in the forecast for Saratoga Springs on Saturday, so you’d better factor that into your racebook handicapping for the day’s big events. Races 10-12 are Grade 1’s, so let’s take a swing at the Pick 3.

In The Ballerina (Race 10), 2YO champ Indian Blessing will be back on her favorite surface (dirt), has proven her fondness for Saratoga (2-for-2, including last year’s Grade 1 Test Stakes), and may well get a sloppy track, which she loves. Note she won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies at Monmouth Park in the slop, and captured the Grade 1 Prioress last summer at Belmont over a muddy strip. She also sports a record of 4-3-1-0 at seven furlongs, with her only defeat at that distance coming in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint over Santa Anita’s Pro-Ride surface. Single her in the first leg of the Pick 3.

Two horses stand out in The King’s Bishop – Munnings on the rail and Big Drama on the outside. Munnings is 0-for-2 on off tracks, but both efforts were commendable. He finished second to Warrior’s Reward in his 3YO debut – a race he clearly needed. Last out he finished third behind Rachel Alexandra and Summer Bird in The Haskell, run over a sloppy track. He’ll appreciate the cutback in distance (note he recently won a pair of Grade 2’s going 7f at Belmont), but will need to work out a trip from his inside post. Big Drama is another who appears best-suited to seven furlongs. He should enjoy a nice outside-stalking trip, and although he’s yet to run on an off track, his breeding and running style suggests he’ll handle it. Use this pair in the second leg of the Pick 3.

In The Travers, I’m taking a stand against probable favorite Quality Road. True, he’s the best horse in the race, but he’s being asked to do too much in this spot. Call me old-fashioned, but I can’t see this guy winning at 1 ¼ miles off a single 6 ½-furlong prep in five months. I’ll be using Charitable Man, Summer Bird and Kensei in the final leg of the Pick 3. I believe that those three horses are in top form, and can handle the surface/distance. With Quality Road out of the Pick 3, the betting ticket should pay handsomely.

That’s my horse racing betting tip for the weekend. Good luck and happy gambling!

Pete Mitchell has been handicapping horses since his teenage years. He has been a professional horse player for many years, and came to betonline.com’s attention through multiple referrals from industry insiders/sportsbook owners. Pete is revered for his horse handicapping opinion and industry experts acknowledge his impressive career winning record. Thoughts or questions?

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