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Double Trouble

Posted by on 5/5/2015 10:14:25 PM

In horseracing, just like in life, sometimes you make your own luck like American Pharoah proved in his successful Run for the Roses.

Some others runners were not as fortunate. Most of the connections of the Kentucky Derby runners took the high road and talked about a ‘no excuse’ situation but on closer examination, some runners were totally compromised.

Coming into the Derby Frosted was just coming into his own. He showed his quality when second in the Remsen last year, ran well in a race he had to need in the Holy Bull, but then threw in a clinker in the Florida Derby when he added blinkers.

Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin then pulled a switch. He hired Joel Rosario to ride, authorized a throat procedure for Frosted that worked many times over the years in California.

And Frosted responded with a visually impressive Wood Memorial win while going away and posting a 103 Beyer Speed Figure.

In the Derby he was a bit rank leaving the gate, dropped well off the pace, had to attempt to loop the field while 5 wide and completed the superfecta while over 4 lengths clear of the 5th finisher.

Owned by Godolphin, a very patient outfit, Frosted will live to fight another day and McLaughlin will let the horse tell him what’s next on the agenda. This runner has ‘improvement’ written all over him.

Like Dortmund, Materiality entered the Derby unbeaten. That ended Saturday but he got a world of experience out of the race. He broke from post 3, just outside of stablemate Carpe Diem, a far more seasoned runner.

Materiality hesitated at the break, and was away dead last. He dropped far off the pace, lost ground when 4 wide down the backstretch, continued 4 wide to the top of the lane, kept to his task and showed considerable interest when a less talented runner would have thrown in the towel.

In his prior three races, Materiality had everything pretty much his own way. He learned in the Derby to compete and survive under adverse circumstances.

Danzig Moon and Bolo were involved in a bumping incident that hindered both of their efforts in the Derby.

Itsaknockout lost his best chance early on. He was steadied and jammed up under the wire for the first time, raced and wide and was on the canvas before the real racing began.

Mr. Z and Ocho Ocho Ocho both had very little chance of success in the Derby. Both are speed horses and their stamina was questionable. They still should be followed, maybe in shorter races moving forward.

Mr. Z checked repeatedly off horse’s heels early in the race, and was caught 5 wide and gave it up. Bolo will likely next show up on the grass and that is where he belongs.

Bolo was jostled between horses and was in tight late before having to eventually settle for a 12-place finish.

The runners that are most likely to mature and excel after this race are Frosted, Materiality and Bolo.

Bolo will in all likelihood be put back on grass and this is his power game.

Frosted will be carefully spotted, Materiality will be able to use his tactical speed in the future while Bolo will get back to his winning ways once he seems the green grass of Del Mar.

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