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Preakness Betting– Bodemeister Could Run Away With The Preakness Stakes

Posted by Marco Sussman on 5/14/2012 3:43:47 PM

The sports betting odds for the second jewel in horse racing’s Triple Crown, the Preakness Stakes, are favoring a horse that is incredibly fast in terms of speed, but he fell short at the Kentucky Derby, which isn’t as long as the Preakness and that could be the key as he maintains his status as the favorite in Baltimore.

What: Horse Betting
When: Saturday, May 19th
Where: Pimlico Race Course, Baltimore, MD

The Favorites

Bodemeister (+140) has emerged as the favorite at the Preakness after a second-place run in the Kentucky Derby, but his handlers will be gutted that he didn’t come away with the victory after leading for most of the race. Only fatigue could defeat Bodemeister, or at least hold him back until I’ll Have Another (+400) stole in to take the victory, but that could be one more positive in Bodemeister’s direction when it comes to the Preakness, which is the shortest of the Triple Crown races and clocks in at a half-furlong shorter than the Derby. That means Bodemeister’s pure speed could be enough to land him the victory here after he tired and allowed I’ll Have Another to catch him.

Of course, that isn’t taking anything away from I’ll Have Another, who had to put himself in position to win the race and take advantage of Bodemeister’s fatigue. The win at Churchill Downs may have surprised all but knowledgeable horse betting sharps and I’ll Have Another’s handlers as he had won two straight races and three of five overall before lining up at the Kentucky Derby, and now he has a genuine shot to go on and win the Preakness if he can get off to a better start, or at least say close to Bodemeister.

Went The Day Well (+800) may have surprised a few with his fourth-place run at the Derby, and it was only a surprise because he hadn’t run that many races in his career, three to be exact. These may be the most dangerous horses, the ones you don’t hear much about, and Went The Day Well is now in the top tier of horses because Dullahan, who finished third at Churchill Downs, will skip the Preakness.

The Second Tier

This is where it gets interesting as there are a handful of horses with the chops to compete with the top tier. Creative Cause (+1000), Hansen (+1200) and Liaison (+1500) are all as good as the top horses and they should be a strong consideration of horse betting players. Creative Cause has a ton of experience and the start in the Kentucky Derby was the ninth of his career, but a fifth-place finish in the Derby was the worst of his career after running in the top three for the eight previous races. Creative Cause has run against a number of the best horses in the United States and held his own as all of his races except for his maiden has been a Grade-1  and Grade-2 race, so he knows how to step up to the competition and should have a much better run at the Preakness.

Hansen also struggled at Churchill Downs en route to a ninth-place finish after many thought he was going to contend for a victory, and the Derby has a funny way of humbling both a horse and his handlers. He had never finished lower than second in his first six starts, and Hansen was never able to get things going as he could never catch up to the pace of the race. He’ll need a better start at the Preakness thanks to the shorter distance and the smaller field (there are 14 horses in the Preakness field as opposed to 20 for the Kentucky Derby), but the speed is there for Hansen, as is Liaison, which finished sixth at the Derby, but he wasn’t thought to be a serious challenger anyway and he could sneak into the mix at Pimlico. He also shares trainers with Bodemeister: Bob Baffert certainly knows how to train a horse for the Preakness, which he has done five times.

The Darkhorses

Optimizer (+2500) has had an up-and-down career and hasn’t finished higher than sixth in four of his last five starts, which includes an 11th-place run in the Derby. He didn’t have great odds there and he shouldn’t move up the list too much for the Preakness. Cozzetti (+3000) and Hierro (+3000) both sat out the Kentucky Derby, although Hierro did finish first in a Derby trial at Churchill Downs, but neither has done much to be a real contender in the second jewel of the Triple Crown.

The Outlook

Don’t expect much movement in these horse betting odds leading up to the Preakness Stakes, unless there is a major injury of some sort. Bodemeister was running away with the Derby before he tired, but much like Shackleford last year, he is extremely fast when it comes to pure speed and the shorter distance of the Preakness favors him, which is why he’ll be at the top of the online betting list until post time.



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