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Saratoga Race Course Betting – Succeeding At Saratoga

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 7/21/2011 6:03:27 PM
saratoga race course betting

Besides the beautiful views, both human and equine, and the great classic racing, Saratoga Race Course offers on-line horseracing handicappers a number of difficult things to examine and first and foremost is the weather.

And we know the weather will come. It can ruin a grass schedule quicker than you can say flash thunderstorm and just like on the dirt track, all turf courses can play differently when they get some moisture seeping in.

Saratoga, which starts Friday and ends September 5, has been called the Spa, and the Graveyard of Favorites, and if you like betting horses, you better pay strict attention to that last moniker before eating chalk this meeting.

A player really has to focus on where the winners are coming from at this abbreviated stand and if there is a potential bias.

A good handicapper must also try to identify key races before they become super obvious. One of the tools to help with that task is the Beyer Pars that are published in DRF Simulcast Weekly. Starting from a $15,000 claimer, then going to the N5X level, the Beyer pars are listed. For example a $75,000 claimer would be on target if that runner posts a 95 Beyer figure.

If you witness a race where the winner for that level records something in the 101 or 102 arena, you may be on to a key race far ahead of the crowd. Also pay attention to races where the trifecta players are spread out. If it came on a glib surface, it can be a sign of a powerful race.

Just like at most other venues, speed is extremely potent going short on dirt and you can go wire to wire going long on dirt under the right circumstance.
On the grass, it can pretty much be pick a number at the top of the lane. The fields will be competitive, with comebackers, Europeans, and shippers mixed in with the usual suspects coming up from Belmont.

Even with all the regally-bred maidens that have been positioned to debut at Saratoga, the experienced runners could offer the best value at the lower levels in the maiden claiming range.

Those maiden sellers that have a race or two under the belt are more likely to improve as they gain experience and less than 10% of first-time maiden claimers cashed while in the Maiden Special Weight ranks, debuters were much more potent.

Nearly 40% of the 97 MSW races last season were won by debuters and online horse betting players know that that’s huge.

Todd Pletcher won with 10 first timers, all MSW runners. Chad Brown chipped in with 5 successful firsters, also all in the MSW ranks. And Graham Motion popped with 2 debuters and the price was right at 8 and 16-1.

Don’t be scared to take shots with comebackers at this meet. All the pretty people have likely instructed-their well-paid conditioners to save some live runners for this meet. Nothing can be finer than to take a nice little contingent down to the winner’s circle before dinner and drinks at some newly renovated chic restaurant.

As far as the humans are concerned, the same trainers will dominate. These of course are the Bill Motts, the Todd Pletchers, and the Ken McPeeks of the world but there are some lesser lights that could shine big time.

  • Last year Seth Benzel won with 10 of his 32 starters for a league leading 31%. Chad Brown was right behind him with 30% winners from 56 runners.
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  • Bruce Levine and Richard Violette also figure to send out live stock every single day.

Sports betting fans have no reason to figure John Velazquez will not again walk away with the riding title.

He beat arch rival Ramon Dominguez last season winning with 57 of his 259 mounts while his starters earned over $3.6 million
.
Finally, on-line betting enthusiasts should not be shy about taking prices at Saratoga especially in those often wide-open grass events.

Good luck and cash some tickets.

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