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Baltimore Bullets

Posted by on 5/11/2015 10:03:16 PM

The Washington Wizards, who are know embroiled in a fight to go on and continue in the NBA playoffs, were originally called the Baltimore Bullets.

And considering the recent unrest in Baltimore, it’s probably a good name change all things considered with the Preakness in town.

Regardless of the side stories that will accompany this year’s Preakness, there are a few trends that have occurred over the decades that players should be made aware off to take advantage of any situation.

There are no guarantees that what has not happened in the past, will not happen this year, but knowing the history and the why of the history is a good start to getting a grip on this Classic race.

Skipping the Derby and going right into the Preakness has not been a great angle over the years. Starting in 1970, only 7 runners were able to pull off that feat.

Bee Bee Bee did it in 1972, three runners did it in the 1980s, Red Bullet won the 2000 running after skipping the party at Churchill and several years ago Rachel Alexandra cashed in the Preakness after passing on Derby glory.

The way to address the ‘new shooters’ in the Preakness in the last decade has been to isolate them in the exotic and hope to get lucky. The ‘new shooters’ have been in the trifecta in 9 of the last 11 years and in the exacta in 8 of the last 11.

This could be a nice way to approach the classic this year.

Bodhisattva could be one of those new shooters. He had tactical speed and is coming off a win in the $100,000 Federico Tesio Stakes.

The last Derby second finisher to win the Preakness was Prairie Bayou way back in 1993. The last show horse to win the Preakness was Curlin in 2007. And the rare Derby trifecta that repeated in the Preakness happened the last time we have a Triple Crown winner in 1978 when Affirmed, Alydar, Believe It clicked right back in that order in Baltimore.

Early speed, or in this case, the half-mile leaders, in the last 7 years has been a mixed bag of results. In 2008 Gayego had the lead at the half but folded his cards to finish 11th.

The next year Rachel Alexandra just kept going to victory after leading at the half. In 2010 First Dude ran well when leading at the half but had to settle for second and in 2011 Flashpoint flashed to the lead at the half but needed a taxi cab home when finishing 14th.

In 2012, I’ll Have Another was 4th at the half about 2 and a half of the lead, but he powered home to get up by a neck with a 109 Beyer.

In 2013 Oxbow, after finishing 6th in the Derby, took his Preakness rivals wire-to-wire. Last year, California Chrome was a close up third before winning the 2nd Jewel.

Drawing the rail has not been the place to be for years in the Preakness. The last horse to run in the exacta after drawing post one was Tabasco Cat in 1994, when he pulled off the victory.

Last year, the rail finisher in the Preakness Dynamic Impact ran 7th at 22-1.

The key to cashing a ticket will be to visualize the pace and project it forward.

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