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Bro-Mance

Posted by on 11/11/2015 8:16:52 PM

In the early 1970s, when I lived on a horse farm in New Jersey, my buddies used to come over several nights a week and play country music and they turned me on to a musician named David Bromberg, who I once saw in an Episcopalian church in New York and Bob Dylan showed up.

Hence, I digress but when I see the trainer Karl Broberg in the entries it takes me back to the good old days but even Bromberg was not as successful as this trainer.

Karl Broberg is a flat-out win machine. Less than a decade ago he was sending his horses to veteran conditioner John Locke, who also happened to be a former practicing veterinarian.

When Locke decided to retire, Broberg saw his chance to get an instant stable and he was on his way.

And his horses get bet. He had a runner that raced at Canterbury in late spring. He was 7-2 on the morning line, went up to 4-1 when they were in the gate, dropped to 5-2 when the race was being run and eventually paid 3-2 in a freaky good win.

Action is action.

So what is the best way to approach the runners trained by Mr. Broberg? Well, there are several categories that one seemingly can’t go wrong.

For instance, at the current Delta Downs meeting he has saddled 48 horses, 19 have won for a cool 40% in the book. That is flat out outrageous.

But maybe it’s better to look at his stats from a negative stance. Note he only wins at 12% with juvenile debuters the last 5 years, the standing time frame we’ll be using today. And he is even worst at 9% with debuting juvenile maiden claimers.

Broberg can win with turf runners, but only at 19%. And he has not been a great guy adding Lasix at just 15% with first-time Lasix perfomers. That’s the bad news, here comes the good news.

When he gets a horse going good, he keeps him moving in the right direction winning at 28% with last out winners.

He doesn’t use this move often but he is 23 for 65 or 35% the last 5 years going MSW to maiden claiming.

He is a patient trainer and has won with 24% of his starters coming back after 180 days or more.

And he is not afraid to jump horses in class. When he moves a horse up 50% in the claiming ranks, he hits at 22%.

One of Broberg’s best traits is he has a good eye for a claim. He has hit at a 30% clip and 60% of those runners have been in the money.

And although his bread and butter is with the workingman’s horse, Broberg knows what to do with a good horse. He trains A M Milky Way, who has won several stakes in his career.

He also conditions Dolly Bonz, who missed by a nose in a $50,000 stakes in the third start for Broberg and now has a 14 for 44 record.

Respect everything this trainer saddles.

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