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Florian Nunes Betting – Florian Uses Experience In Featherweight Debut Against Nunes

Posted by Jack “The Hammer” Howard on 6/7/2011 5:25:42 PM
florian nunes betting

The online betting odds on Kenny Florian ever receiving another shot at the lightweight title were slim to none after a loss in an eliminator, so he decided to move down a weight class to try and improve his chance at a belt in the UFC. He’ll make his featherweight debut at UFC 131 against Diego Nunes, and Florian will use all of his experience to overcome a new weight cut.

  • What: UFC Betting
  • When: Saturday, June 11th, 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia
  • Pick: Kenny Florian (-280)

Why Bet On Kenny Florian (14-5)

Florian will be making his move down to 145 pounds, and it’s strange to think that he started as a middleweight at 185 pounds on the first season of “The Ultimate Fighter”. He has fought at welterweight, but it was at lightweight that “Ken-Flo” made his name, working through the 155-pound ranks, but he lost his two title chances, once to Sean Sherk at UFC 64, and again to B.J. Penn at UFC 101. Florian then lost a title eliminator against Gray Maynard at UFC 118 and has decided to try his luck at 145 pounds, where he should be a pretty powerful fighter. His elbow strikes are some of the best in the business, and the black belt in Brazilian jiu jitsu is extremely comfortable on the mat, with 10 of his 14 wins coming via submission and usually, via a lethal rear-naked choke. He’s also a technically proficient striker, although Florian hasn’t been known for his power. He hopes to change this with the move down to 145 pounds.

How his body reacts to the cut to 145 pounds will be the key to Florian’s chances for victory in this UFC betting contest. The Massachusetts native has put his body through a lot in his career, dropping 30 pounds from his original fighting weight, and it’ll be interesting to see how his conditioning is. Also, Florian can be taken down at will by top-notch wrestlers, which is what Maynard did with him, but you also have to be careful once you get Florian to the mat as his submission skills are top notch.

Why Bet On Diego Nunes (16-1)

Nunes came away with a tough split decision win in his UFC debut against former WEC champion Mike Brown at UFC 125, but he is a threat to move up the ranks at 145 pounds. He’s a top-10 ranked fighter in his weight class and is one of the more well-rounded fighters you’d ever hope to see, with five wins by knockout and decision, along with six wins via submission. Nunes, nicknamed “The Gun”, has a background in kickboxing, and he’s learning to use more Brazilian jiu-jitsu along with Muay Thai skills. He was moving up the ranks in the WEC before it was bought out by the UFC, and he didn’t hurt his cause in a battle against Brown.

However, a fight against Florian represents a jump in class for Nunes, who has fought some tough customers while coming up in Brazil, and even in the WEC, but Florian will be his toughest test to date. He also hasn’t finished a fight since August 2008, and his last finish due to strikes was in May 2007, so the pressure may be on Nunes to put on a show, which is something that president Dana White values. His fight with Brown was a solid debut, but he’ll want to step up the pace against Florian, a newcomer to the division.

How It Will Play Out

UFC betting odds have Florian as a -280 favorite in his featherweight debut, while Nunes is listed at +220, and he’ll have to use all of his skills to get inside on Florian, who will have a size and reach advantage. But Florian will be aiming to take this fight to the ground, where his superior ground game will come into play. Nunes’ best chance is to try and pressure Florian into a mistake while standing up, because he doesn’t have much of a chance on the ground. Nunes is taking a big step up, and he has to hope that Florian had a problem with the weight cut. Take the wily veteran and bet on Kenny Florian in your sports betting picks.

UFC Betting Pick: Kenny Florian

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