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Predictions For Betting On Rousey Carmouche – Main Event Preview: Women Take Center Stage In Bantamweight Title Bout

Posted by Jack "The Hammer" Howard on 2/12/2013 6:03:51 PM

In a rare women’s matchup inside the cage for UFC’s main event, the sport known for its relentless action will feature Ronda Rousey and Liz Carmouche fighting for the bantamweight title.

Ronda Rousey vs. Liz Carmouche – Saturday, February 23
Betting line: Rousey -1200, Carmouche +775

Why Rousey Will Win

When people in the legal online sports betting realm tackle this latest UFC extravaganza, they will find it hard to bet against Rousey, who enters as the current UFC bantamweight champion and is as recognized for her arrogance and swagger as she is for her clout inside the ring. Currently undefeated at 6-0, UFC godfather Dana White has long heaped praise on Rousey, saying she can become the face of the sport for women and essentially become the next dominant fighter. She has won all of her fights in the first round by arm bar and has essentially challenged anyone to step into the ring with her. She’s listed as the number one “pound-for-pound” female fighter by nearly every possible publication, and her background in Judo makes her as equally intimidating with her legs as her fists and arms. While these are both professional fighters and both train tirelessly for this bout, you have to wonder if Rousey’s reputation will play a factor.

Many in the UFC community feel that female fighters simply have gone out of their way to avoid getting in the ring with Rousey. Along the lines of a prime-year Mike Tyson, in a sport like Boxing or MMA, sometimes a fight is as much about the stuff inside the fighters' heads as anything that's inside their gloves (or in this case, fists). If Carmouche is mentally intimidated before the fight even starts she will have no chance in this high-combat version of any online poker games you can find. You have to be as confident in poker as you are in the ring, and if Carmouche doesn't truly believe she can win, she'll become another notch on Rousey's title belt.

Why Carmouche Will Win

Anyone, not just sports bettors or football betting junkies looking for a new post-Super Bowl fix, should keep this in mind about the underdog: One advantage Carmouche has going in her favor is that despite the weight of the two women being the same, she has a couple inches on Rousey, which she must use to her advantage. Given Rousey’s knack for winning with arm bars, it’s apparent Rousey needs to get in close to the opposing fighter in order to lock her up. Carmouche should be able to use her size advantage to mix jabs and kicks, hopefully keeping Rousey at a distance and forcing Rousey to win with kicks and long punches. Carmouche is a former marine who undoubtedly can handle the physical toll of a fight, but at 8-2 in her career has shown she can be beaten.

The other element of this fight to watch is whether Carmouche can push this fight into the second round. As was mentioned earlier, Rousey was won all of her fights in the first round. While it’s natural to think that these fighters can endure for a long period of time, given the shape they are in, Rousey hasn’t been pushed for multiple rounds yet. Can Rousey keep up her physical force for more than one round? The longer the fight goes, the more it favors Carmouche.

Who Will Win

It’s hard to look at Rousey’s track record and not come away thinking this is a fight she wins. Rousey has proven herself in nearly every field of fighting competition she’s competed in. She has an intimidating reputation for a reason. Carmouche will put up a good fight, but it won't be enough.

UFC Betting Pick: Rousey by second-round submission

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