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Schaub Rothwell Betting – Schaub Gets Back On Track With Win Over Rothwell

Posted by Jack “The Hammer” Howard on 3/14/2012 2:18:47 PM
schaub rothwell betting

Sports betting players following the UFC have seen the heavyweight division become more competitive in recent times, and a loss can knock you down the pecking order; just ask Brenden Schaub, who was upset in Brazil last year. But he’ll get back into the octagon for UFC 145, and Schaub will take his frustrations out on a game Ben Rothwell.

What: UFC Betting
When: Saturday, April 21st, 9:00 PM ET
Where: Philips Arena, Atlanta, GA
Pick: Brendan Schaub

Why Bet On Brenden Schaub (8-2)

Schaub has been long thought of as one of the top heavyweight prospects even from his time on “The Ultimate Fighter”, where he lost in the finale of the 10th season to Roy Nelson, then Schaub went on a four-match winning streak, three of which ended via knockout. Chase Gormley, Chris Tuchscherer and Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic were stopped by “The Hybrid”, while he also took down jiu-jitsu specialist Gabriel Gonzaga, but then Schaub was stunned by Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira in August, but you have to take that with a grain of salt because “Big Nog” is a Brazilian legend, and in Rio de Janeiro, Schaub not only had to go against Nogueira, but also the rabid crowd and he may not have been ready for the moment, while his older opponent was. It was a good learning experience for Schaub, who can use that to continue his ascent up the heavyweight ladder.

Schaub has strong boxing skills, but he is also working on his wrestling and is a purple belt in jiu-jitsu and even though only two of his 10 fights have gone past the first round, he has good cardio and has stuffed 88% of his opponent’s takedown attempts. Schaub is also a former professional football player as he was on the practice squad for the Buffalo Bills and he played in the arena football, and he has an exceptional combination of size and agility. Schaub just needs a little more experience before he can be counted as a true contender in an increasingly loaded heavyweight division, and this match will be a good start.

Why Bet On Ben Rothwell (31-8)

Rothwell comes into this bout as a UFC betting underdog as he looked awful in his last match, a loss to Mark Hunt in September in Denver, but like Schaub’s loss, you have to look a little deeper into it. Both Rothwell and Hunt struggled with their cardio in the high altitude of Denver, and it’s a safe bet to say that heavyweights will never fight in Denver again as the last half of the fight was all about survival. Rothwell has alternated wins and losses over his last six fights as he was KOed by Andrei Arlovski and former (then future) UFC champion Cain Velasquez, but “Big Ben” managed to defeat Chris Guillen by TKO and Gilbert Yvel via decision. During the win over Yvel in June 2010 in Vancouver, Rothwell also suffered a torn ACL, fighting the rest of the bout basically on one leg, and the fight with Hunt was his first in 15 months, so that was another factor in his loss. Coming off a huge layoff to fight for 15 minutes in Denver? That sounds like a recipe for disaster, and that’s why Rothwell has a lot of motivation entering this match.

“Big Ben” comes from kickboxing and wrestling, and he has a 3-0 record in pro kickboxing, so he can be a dangerous striker. He is also a capable submission artist, although Rothwell prefers to strike, and he has a few decent wins on his resume with a pair of victories over Krzysztof Soszynski and a split-decision win over Nelson when the two were in the IFL in April 2007. With a win in this fight, Rothwell can move up from the “gatekeeper” status that seems to be his ceiling, but he’ll also have to improve his takedown defense, where he has stopped just 30% of his opponents’ attempts.

How It Will Play Out

You can find Schaub as the UFC betting favorite here at around -330, while Rothwell comes in at +220 and this is a match that probably won’t go the distance as both have been knocked out before and it only takes one good shot. Both have a lot of motivation in this fight, but Schaub is just too good for Rothwell, who is probably as good as most of the second-tier mixed martial artists in the UFC, but his ceiling is pretty set, while Schaub still has some improving to do and he’ll showcase his skills en route to a victory in your online betting book.

UFC 145 Betting Pick: Brendan Schaub

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