CLICK TO JOIN

Remember me Reset Password

      

UFC 146 Betting Picks – Dos Santos Retains Title, Adds Mir To KO List

Posted by Jack “The Hammer” Howard on 4/25/2012 4:46:34 PM

Sports betting sharps were preparing for an epic striking matchup between champion Junior Dos Santos and Alistair Overeem, headlining UFC 146’s main card featuring all-heavyweight matchups. However, Overeem ran into some legal problems and it was to the benefit of Frank Mir, who is looking to hold the UFC title for a third time. But unless he can get Dos Santos to the ground, which barely no one has been able to do, it’s not going to end well for the challenger.

What: UFC Betting
When: Saturday, May 26th, 9:00 PM ET (confirm start time of PPV event)
Where: MGM Grand, Las Vegas, NV
Pick: Junior Dos Santos

Why Bet On Junior Dos Santos (14-1)

Dos Santos is defending his title for the first time since he snatched it from Cain Velasquez in 64 seconds in November on the UFC’s first FOX card, and he has ended 11 of his 14 wins within the first round. Then Dos Santos went on the shelf with a torn meniscus, so he has to be a little worried about ring rust, which ironically was a problem with Velasquez. However, it has only been just over seven months between fights for Dos Santos, one of the best boxers in the UFC and possibly the best in the heavyweight division. His power has netted him three “Knockout of the Night” honors, but “Cigano” also has some of the best takedown defense out there as he has stuffed 85% of attempted takedowns. It would have been interesting to see what he could do against Velasquez, a wrestling specialist who never had a chance to attempt a takedown before he was stopped.

Dos Santos was, of course, training for Overeem, who is a specialist in striking, both Muay Thai and kickboxing, and his new opponent presents a different set of problems for the champion, who is a brown belt in jiu-jitsu, but he hasn’t won via a submission maneuver since December 2006 in his second fight and while his win over Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic was classified a submission, Filipovic submitted due to punches. We haven’t seen much of Dos Santos’ mat work because of his excellent takedown defense, and that’s going to be tested in Las Vegas.

Why Bet On Frank Mir (16-5)

Mir was due to fight Velasquez on this card, but he was bumped up to the main event after Overeem’s troubles and now he has a chance to win the heavyweight title for the third time. He defeated Tim Sylvia back in June 2004, and then had to vacate the title because of a motorcycle that almost took his life. Mir then beat Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira for the interim title December 2008 before losing a unification match against Brock Lesnar in July 2009 after submitted Lesnar in his debut 16 months earlier. Mir could be the best submission artist in the heavyweight division as nine of his victories have come that way, and no one will forget his gruesome arm-breaking kimura against Nogueira in their rematch December. It was also the second time in his career that Mir has been given the “Submission of the Year” award. Mir also has the most heavyweight wins in the history of the UFC with 14, so he knows what it takes to come out on top in the octagon.

But like Dos Santos, Mir was training for a different opponent in Velasquez, who isn’t nearly the striker that Dos Santos is (which we saw in November). Mir has only stopped 50% of takedowns, but his jiu-jitsu is so good that he doesn’t mind getting taken down. However, all five of his losses have come by knockout and that isn’t a good sign against the top knockout artist in the division. While Mir has improved his striking by leaps and bounds, it still isn’t close to Dos Santos and he’ll have to figure out a way to penetrate Dos Santos’ takedown defense to force this fight to the ground; it’s the only way Mir has a chance to win.

How It Will Play Out

Currently, you can find Dos Santos as a UFC betting favorite in this fight at anywhere from -500 to -550, while Mir’s lines range from +300 to +422. This may seem like a lot, but Dos Santos has rolled through the heavyweight division and no one has had anything for his combination of power and takedown defense.

Unless Mir can get Dos Santos to the mat, this fight is going to be over quickly as Mir doesn’t have the best chin in the world, while Dos Santos is a knockout king. Ring rust could be a small issue with Dos Santos, but not enough to give Mir an edge. Stick with the champ, Junior Dos Santos, to grab a win with your online betting picks.

UFC 146 Betting Pick: Junior Dos Santos

Archives

Twitter


↑ Back to page content
Media Logos

At BetOnline, our company’s guiding principle is to establish long-lasting, positive relationships with our customers. BetOnline is perfect for those who like to stay on top of all the latest sports & horse racing odds or play a few games in the online casino. We have built our reputation on giving our clients nothing but high-quality service and once you have worked with us, you will realize why we are regarded as a leader.

From our customer service to our cutting-edge technology, enticing contests and dedication to putting the best product out on the marketplace, BetOnline is always striving to improve and we take the wants and needs of our customers very seriously. We are always looking for suggestions to make our product better, and client input allows us to build a relationship that will last for a lifetime.

Trust is tough to create and it is even tougher to maintain, which is why we always keep the lines of communication open with our clients at BetOnline, and the best part is that it will not cost you a dime.

Head over to our world-famous sportsbook, where you will find live lines for all major sporting events, but that is not all because at BetOnline, you will also find the Betting Edge, which is a constant stream of advice from people that spend countless hours looking over trends and statistics, so you don’t have to. You get an honest and educated opinion for people that truly love sports, and we are always updating the section to keep you up on what’s happening in current in the world of sports.

The racebook is another fantastic section at BetOnline, as you can get a headstart on the Triple Crown season by reading over our articles to give you an idea of the winning horses. We don’t just focus on the Triple Crown at BetOnline; you can find information on races all year around and that will help you out when it comes time to watch the major thoroughbred horse races.

You can also check out our casino, where you can play the latest games powered by the latest technology. From poker to card games, slots and everything in between, we have you covered at BetOnline.

We have contests and promotions galore as BetOnline is all about what our clients want, so check it out and if you have any inquiries, never hesitate to get in touch with us. Betonline because your can!


↑ Back to top