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Cerrone, Miller Battle To Keep Lightweight Title Dreams Alive At Fight Night 45

Posted by Jack “The Hammer” Howard on 7/11/2014 10:11:05 PM

Two of the top fighters in the UFC lightweight division are set to clash in a bout that will have major implications, as Donald Cerrone goes one-on-one with Jim Miller in the main event for UFC Fight Night 45. Miller is undefeated over his last four fights, but is listed as the underdog against Cerrone, who has won three-straight. Neither competitor has earned a shot at the UFC Lightweight championship to this point, but a win for either fighter would push them one step closer, while the dream of challenging for a title potentially fades away for the loser.

UFC Fight Night 45

Donald Cerrone (23-6-1) vs. Jim Miller (24-4-1)

Wednesday July 16, 2014

Revel Casino, Atlantic City, New Jersey

UFC Betting Odds: Cerrone - 250

Miller technically hasn’t lost since he submitted to Nate Diaz in a title eliminator back in May of 2012, although he did tap against Pat Healy in April of 2013, only to have that result changed to a no contest after Healy tested positive for Marijuana. The 30-year old Miller has shown flashes of his ability in back-to-back first-round submission wins over Fabricio Camoes and Yancy Medeiros, but Cerrone will be a much tougher test.

UFC Betting Preview: Donald Cerrone

The 31-year old Cerrone lasted just 2:35 in to his fight with Anthony Pettis before suffering a TKO loss back in January of 2013, and didn’t look much better when he submitted to Rafael Dos Anjos a few months later. However, Cerrone has turned things around with three-straight wins, including first-round stoppages in each of the last two. Cerrone knocked out Adriano Martins with a devastating kick to the head to earn Knockout of the Night honors at the UFC on FOX event in January, and then showed his versatility by making Edson Barboza tap with a rear-naked choke just 3:15 in to their fight this past April. Now he is in his prime and a has shot at moving one step closer to the title, so look for him to be ready when he steps inside the Octagon for this next tilt.

UFC Betting Preview: Jim Miller

Don’t expect Miller to back down after he needed a total of just seven minutes to submit both Camoes and Medeiros in his last two wins. Miller has just one knockout to his name since 2009, but he is a smart, calculated fighter that knows when to push and when to step back. The problem is that he will have a hard time picking his spots against an aggressive fighter that will take the bout to him in Cerrone. It’s unrealistic to think that he will be able to steal a submission win against such a prepared, talented opponent, so it might only be a matter of time before he is pushed in to a corner.

UFC Betting Preview: Outlook & Pick

Cerrone is the superior fighter in this match up, and it might not be a question of if, but rather how long it takes for his to end this fight. Cerrone is listed at -250 to win, but he can be had at -130 to end this fight via stoppage in the first three rounds, which might be the best value available. Both fighters have come a long way for this chance, but Cerrone has proven himself against better competition, and there isn’t any one area where he concedes an edge in skill level versus Miller.

UFC Betting Pick: Donald Cerrone - 250

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