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Breaking Down The Best Bets For UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Alves

Posted by on 5/28/2015 9:10:33 PM

The UFC is set to make its return to Brazil with an absolutely loaded card for the UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Alves event headlined by a main event welterweight bout that features a native son Thiago Alves clashing with Carlos Condit. Here is a quick preview and look at the best bets in the main card for UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Alves.

Welterweight Bout

(29-8-0) Carlos Condit vs. Thiago Alves (21-9-0)

This isn’t the same matchup it would have been a couple of years ago but it’s still worth tuning in for regardless as these two welterweights look to leave it all on the line. Condit has been out for more than a year following a devastating knee injury and it will be interesting to see how he looks after he knocked out Martin Kampmann the last time we saw him inside the Octagon. Meanwhile, Alves is coming off back-to-back wins over Seth Baczynski and Jordan Mein and while he is listed as the underdog it is worth putting some money on him in a fight that could go either way hoping that Condit shows signs of rust and the home crowd helps put Alves over the top for the win. There is definitely some risk in trusting Condit’s knee in his first fight back as a substantial favorite in this one so we will go with Alves or pass or this matchup.

Pick: Alves +210

Featherweight Bout

(19-4-0) Charles Oliveira vs. Nik Lentz (25-6-2)

The highly anticipated rematch between these two featherweights is likely to have a much different feel than the original bout with Oliveira listed as the substantial favorite. Lentz is very durable ad he could definitely survive to go the distance with Oliveira as long as he doesn’t make a critical error but it’s hard to imagine a scenario where he defeats a much more dynamic opponent. Oliveira is extremely dangerous on the ground and if he can take the fight to Lentz and get him on the mat he could end this fight via submission. Either way it looks as though Oliveira is a very safe pick for this bout.

Pick: Oliveira -270

Welterweight Bout

(13-7-0) KJ Noons vs. Alex Oliveira (10-2-1)

The most even fight on the board so far features Oliveira stepping up on short notice to replace Yan Cabral in front of a home crowd that will attempt to will him to the win. Unlike most instances when a fighter is replaced this one actually appears to work against Noons as he was much better suited to take on Cabral. Oliveira is very quick and his counter punching ability makes him very dangerous. However, Noons is still very dangerous on his feet as well and while he might take a more cautious approach against Oliveira he should be able to find a way to earn the victory if this fight goes the distance. A good amount of money on Oliveira has pushed Noons to become the slight underdog but we will still with Noons as the slight underdog in this spot.

Pick: Noons +110

Light Heavyweight Bout

(16-4-0) Francimar Barroso vs. Ryan Jimmo (19-4-0)

This fight projects to be more of a slow, grinding bout with both competitors unwilling to give up much. Barroso will be able to hold his own for a while but Jimmo is the more polished and skilled striker of the two and he should be able to earn the win.

Pick: Jimmo -270

Lightweight Bout

(16-4-0) Francisco Trinaldo vs. Norman Parke (20-3-1)

Parke is very difficult to take down and he has a substantial reach advantage that will make him tough to get inside position on. Trinaldo has the ability to end this bout with his punching power if he gets inside but the more likely scenario has Parke keeping him on the perimeter and working him until the final bell to secure the decision.

Pick: Parke -240

Welterweight Bout

(24-8-0) Wendell Oliveira vs. Darren Till (12-0-0)

Both of these fighters like to stay on their feet and throw punches and that will make it an exciting showdown. Oliveira has vicious punching ability but Till does an excellent job of keeping opponents at a distance with his kicking ability and as long as he doesn’t make that crucial error he should be able to hold out Oliveira long enough to score the decision.

Pick: Till -110

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