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Aston Villa vs Man City Picks – Scrappy Villa snatches a point in the City of Manchester

Posted by Todd Shale on 4/29/2010 4:06:53 PM
Soccer odds – Draw +275

Online betting players are gearing up for an exciting finish to the Premiership season in the top four, where Aston Villa and Manchester City are battling for the final Champions League spot. The two square off in Manchester on Saturday, and Villa’s knack for taking a point on the road will keep their hopes alive.

Soccer betting odds: Draw +275
  • What: Soccer betting
  • When: Saturday, May 1, 10:00 AM ET
  • Where: City of Manchester Stadium, Manchester, England
  • Key Stat: Aston Villa has five draws away from home this season

The Storyline: Aston Villa vs Man City Picks

Both teams can taste the fourth spot in the Premiership, which is currently held by Tottenham. Villa is tied with Tottenham on points, but are 10 goals behind them in goal difference after a controversial 1-0 win over Birmingham at home. Man City are one point behind Villa after a 0-0 draw at Arsenal that didn’t have the fireworks many expected. Tottenham plays at the same time at home against Bolton, but neither team will be scoreboard-watching, as they have a tough enough task ahead of them.


Offensive Matchups: Aston Villa vs Man City Picks

Villa is eighth in the league in goals scored, but they have a knack for getting timely goals, such as James Milner’s penalty against Birmingham. Luck or not, Villa has had enough bad breaks go against them that they deserved that penalty. Gaby Agbonlahor, who won that penalty, is a force because of his explosive speed, but Villa needs more from Ashley Young.

On the other hand, Man City is fourth in goals, but after scoring 11 in two games against the likes of Burnley and Birmingham, they’ve been blanked in back-to-back matches against Manchester United and Arsenal. The three-headed monster of Emmanuel Adebayor, Carlos Tevez and Craig Bellamy have been inconsistent this season, scoring in bunches, and then going dry. Will they step up against Villa?

Betting Edge: Man City

Defensive Matchups: Aston Villa vs Man City Picks

Villa has certainly sorted itself out after a 7-1 thrashing at Chelsea a month ago, and due to their offensive shortcomings, the defense has to be good if they want to make some noise in your sportsbook. Richard Dunne, who is in the PFA Team of the Year, has truly been immense in the center of defense, and he’ll need to keep his emotions in check as he played nine years at Man City, and refused to celebrate his goal in the 1-1 draw at Villa Park in October.

Man City’s expensively-constructed defense has struggled all season, and now injuries are killing them. Goalkeeper Shay Given is out, joining Wayne Bridge and Joleon Lescott on the sidelines. The injuries at the back meant that Man City went with two defensive midfielders in Gareth Barry and Patrick Vieira at Arsenal. Speaking of Barry, he’ll also have to watch his emotions as he played 12 years at Aston Villa before last summer’s controversial move. He may not receive a warm reception.

Betting Edge: Aston Villa

Notable Injuries: Aston Villa vs Man City Picks

Villa has a clean bill of health, which is great because they don’t have a very deep squad.

Barry (hamstring) is actually racing to be healthy for this game after picking up a hamstring problem. Adebayor (thigh) is also trying to get fit, while Bridge (hip/thigh) and Sylvinho (calf) also face late fitness tests. Lescott (hamstring), Given (shoulder), and Martin Petrov (knee) are all out.

Betting Edge: Aston Villa

Totals: Aston Villa vs Man City Picks

Six of the last 10 matches between these two have gone under the posted total, including the 1-1 draw in October. The under is the play here, given scoring problems for both teams.

Pick: Under 2.5

Betting Prediction: Aston Villa vs Man City Picks

Man City has won six and drawn two of their last 10 meetings with Aston Villa, but this match has all the makings of a draw. Man City has lost just twice at home, while Villa has won just one of their last four at the City of Manchester Stadium. But they’ll take advantage of Man City’s injury woes at the back to grab another important goal to keep their Champions League dreams alive. Take each team to snag a point in your sports betting book.

Todd’s Pick: Draw +275

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